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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
RWD Molenbeek
T U S T
0–4
Full-time
Genk
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RWD Molenbeek Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 21%
25%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
25%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,04 xG 3,69
37% Possession 63%
10 Shots 28
4 Shots on target 10
0 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

RWD Molenbeek Genk
31′
⚽ A. Fadera 0–1
J. Paintsil
38′
⚽ B. Heynen 0–2
45′
⚽ D. Muñoz 0–3
Half-time 0–3
62′
🔁 P. Hrošovský
↦ M. Galarza
62′
🔁 M. Trésor
↦ A. Fadera
P. Dwomoh 🔁
↦ T. Gécé
65′
71′
⚽ C. Cuesta 0–4
J. Paintsil
75′
🔁 T. Arokodare
↦ J. Paintsil
F. Ferraro 🔁
↦ X. Mercier
76′
76′
🔁 A. Ouattara
↦ B. Heynen
76′
🔁 B. El Khannouss
↦ A. Ait El Hadj
Abner 🟨
81′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

RWD Molenbeek

5-4-1
33 T. Defourny G
77 Z. El Ouahdi D
19 J. Heris D
4 William Klaus D
3 F. Le Joncour D
26 Abner D
11 N. Dailly M
5 A. De Sart M
20 T. Gécé M
30 X. Mercier M
7 M. Biron F
Bench (7)
6 P. Dwomoh
17 F. Ferraro
16 S. Diallo
28 G. Hubert
32 D. Doudaev
35 I. El Abbassi
23 Romildo Del Piage

Coach: Cláudio Caçapa

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
46 C. Cuesta D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
8 B. Heynen M
25 M. Galarza M
28 J. Paintsil M
19 A. Ait El Hadj M
7 A. Fadera M
14 Y. Sor F
Bench (7)
17 P. Hrošovský
11 M. Trésor
99 T. Arokodare
4 A. Ouattara
34 B. El Khannouss
1 H. Van Crombrugge
18 J. Kayembe

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,60
🔒
U
3,69
🔒
B ✓
1,94
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,73
🔒
U2,5
2,08
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.