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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Antwerp
S S S T S
1–2
Full-time
Charleroi
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 18/28 matches
Win Ø 56%
72%
39%
Points per game
2,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
50%
61%
Both score Ø 58%
44%
71%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Antwerp 2. · Charleroi 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 28 12 10 6 +13 46
2 Antwerp 18 13 1 4 +13 40
3 Kortrijk 28 11 7 10 +2 40
4 Charleroi 28 11 6 11 +0 39
5 Genk 18 11 5 2 +21 38
6 Standard 18 10 6 2 +17 36
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 10 6 12 -1 36
8 Gent 18 11 2 5 +16 35
9 Club Brugge 18 10 4 4 +17 34
10 Anderlecht 18 10 4 4 +12 34
11 Waregem 28 8 7 13 -11 31
12 Eupen 28 9 2 17 -20 29
13 Cercle Brugge 28 7 7 14 -21 28
14 Oostende 28 6 9 13 -20 27
15 Beveren 28 5 11 12 -12 26
16 Lokeren 28 4 5 19 -26 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Charleroi
1–0 Amara Baby
Aurelio Buta
24′
31′
Victor Osimhen 1–1
Half-time 1–1
Jonathan Bolingi 🔁
↦ William Owusu
46′
Lior Refaelov
penalty missed
48′
Geoffry Hairemans 🔁
↦ David Simão
66′
70′
🔁 Massimo Bruno
↦ David Henen
77′
Massimo Bruno 1–2
Stergos Marinos
82′
🔁 Adama Niane
↦ Ali Gholizadeh
84′
🟨 Gaetan Hendrickx
Didier Lamkel Ze 🔁
↦ Aurelio Buta
86′
88′
🟨 Gaetan Hendrickx
88′
🟥 Gaetan Hendrickx
89′
🔁 Dorian Dessoleil
↦ Ryota Morioka
90′
🟨 Nicolas Penneteau
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-3-3
1 Sinan Bolat G
30 Aurelio Buta D
15 Dino Arslanagic D
6 Simen Juklerød D
21 Dylan Batubinsika D
23 Omar Govea M
11 Lior Refaelov M
22 David Simão M
14 Amara Baby M
70 Dieumerci Mbokani F
19 William Owusu F
Bench (7)
31 Yves De Winter
4 Daniel Opare
2 Matheus Borges
29 Egor Nazaryna
10 Geoffry Hairemans
20 Didier Lamkel Ze
9 Jonathan Bolingi

Charleroi

4-3-3
1 Nicolas Penneteau G
17 Stergos Marinos D
8 Martos D
33 Gabriele Angella D
25 Núrio D
22 Gaetan Hendrickx M
44 Ryota Morioka M
26 Marco Ilaimaharitra M
88 Ali Gholizadeh F
45 Victor Osimhen F
39 David Henen F
Bench (7)
69 Rémy Riou
4 Maxime Busi
24 Dorian Dessoleil
13 Christophe Diandy
10 Jérémy Perbet
9 Adama Niane
77 Massimo Bruno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.