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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Anderlecht
U S S U S
2–3
Full-time
St Truiden
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
0,5
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
0,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 10. · St Truiden 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 4 3 0 1 +10 9
2 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Antwerp 4 2 1 1 +0 7
4 Charleroi 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Kortrijk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Royal Excel Mouscron 3 2 0 1 +0 6
7 St Truiden 3 2 0 1 +0 6
8 Beveren 4 1 2 1 +2 5
9 Genk 2 1 1 0 +2 4
10 Anderlecht 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Mechelen 4 0 3 1 -1 3
12 Lokeren 4 1 0 3 -6 3
13 Eupen 4 1 0 3 -7 3
14 Gent 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Standard 3 0 1 2 -5 1
16 Oostende 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.