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Pro League

Referee: Nathan Verboomen

St Truiden

T S U T T

1–0

Full-time

Anderlecht

S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Anderlecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,7

This season — Pro League · 26/16 matches

Win Ø 47%

31%

63%

Points per game

1,3

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

35%

69%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

63%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,1

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

5 Corners 7

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 7. · Anderlecht 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	18	14	3	1	+26	45
2	Antwerp	26	9	10	7	+1	37
3	Kortrijk	26	10	6	10	+2	36
4	Anderlecht	16	10	4	2	+11	34
5	Beveren	26	9	7	10	+3	34
6	Charleroi	17	9	6	2	+14	33
7	St Truiden	26	8	9	9	-10	33
8	Gent	17	9	4	4	+16	31
9	Genk	18	7	8	3	+6	29
10	Oostende	26	8	5	13	-1	29
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	26	8	5	13	-12	29
12	Waregem	26	8	4	14	-8	28
13	Lokeren	26	7	7	12	-13	28
14	Standard	18	7	6	5	+3	27
15	Mechelen	26	5	7	14	-19	22
16	Eupen	26	4	9	13	-19	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	9	9	0	0	+17	27
2	St Truiden	13	7	3	3	+2	24
3	Kortrijk	13	6	5	2	+10	23
4	Beveren	13	6	3	4	+8	21
5	Gent	8	6	0	2	+12	18
6	Standard	9	5	3	1	+3	18
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	5	3	5	-5	18
8	Anderlecht	8	5	2	1	+8	17
9	Charleroi	9	4	5	0	+6	17
10	Eupen	13	4	5	4	-2	17
11	Antwerp	13	3	6	4	+1	15
12	Oostende	13	5	0	8	-2	15
13	Mechelen	13	4	3	6	-5	15
14	Waregem	13	4	2	7	-8	14
15	Genk	9	2	6	1	+2	12
16	Lokeren	13	2	4	7	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	13	6	4	3	+0	22
2	Club Brugge	9	5	3	1	+9	18
3	Lokeren	13	5	3	5	-1	18
4	Genk	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Anderlecht	8	5	2	1	+3	17
6	Charleroi	8	5	1	2	+8	16
7	Oostende	13	3	5	5	+1	14
8	Waregem	13	4	2	7	+0	14
9	Gent	9	3	4	2	+4	13
10	Beveren	13	3	4	6	-5	13
11	Kortrijk	13	4	1	8	-8	13
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	3	2	8	-7	11
13	Standard	9	2	3	4	+0	9
14	St Truiden	13	1	6	6	-12	9
15	Mechelen	13	1	4	8	-14	7
16	Eupen	13	0	4	9	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.