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Pro League
Referee: Wesley Alen
St Truiden
T U T S S
4–2
Full-time
Anderlecht
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 15/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
40%
70%
Points per game
1,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
53%
70%
Both score Ø 74%
67%
80%
Average goals
2,7
3,4
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 3. · Anderlecht 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 10 8 1 1 +10 25
2 Genk 11 7 3 1 +16 24
3 St Truiden 15 6 6 3 +6 24
4 Club Brugge 11 7 2 2 +16 23
5 Anderlecht 10 7 2 1 +12 23
6 Gent 10 7 1 2 +12 22
7 Cercle Brugge 16 6 4 6 -7 22
8 Charleroi 15 6 2 7 +0 20
9 Standard 11 5 4 2 +8 19
10 Kortrijk 16 5 4 7 -5 19
11 Oostende 16 5 3 8 -13 18
12 Eupen 16 5 1 10 -15 16
13 Waregem 16 4 3 9 -10 15
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 16 3 4 9 -10 13
15 Beveren 16 1 8 7 -7 11
16 Lokeren 15 2 4 9 -13 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Anderlecht
1–0 Roman Bezus
Daichi Kamada
8′
9′
🟨 Sebastiaan Bornauw
38′
Ivan Santini 1–1
Francis Amuzu
Half-time 1–2
52′
Ivan Santini 1–2
Pol García 🟨
56′
Elton Acolatse 🔁
↦ Jordan Botaka
56′
Elton Acolatse 🟨
58′
Yohan Boli 🟨
61′
2–2 Takehiro Tomiyasu
62′
64′
🟨 Ognjen Vranješ
3–2 Daichi Kamada
Roman Bezus
66′
70′
🟨 Evgeny Makarenko
73′
🔁 Zakaria Bakkali
↦ Pieter Gerkens
73′
🔁 Jamie Lawrence
↦ Ognjen Vranješ
78′
🔁 Jeremy Doku
↦ Yari Verschaeren
Jonathan Legear 🔁
↦ Roman Bezus
83′
4–2 Yohan Boli
90′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

St Truiden

3-4-3
1 Kenny Steppe G
3 Takehiro Tomiyasu D
26 Jorge Teixeira D
4 Pol García D
7 Jordan Botaka F
12 Samuel Asamoah M
5 Alexis De Sart M
24 Casper De Norre D
10 Roman Bezus M
11 Yohan Boli F
15 Daichi Kamada M
Bench (7)
21 Lucas Pirard
20 Damien Dussaut
33 Wataru Endo
6 Steven De Petter
29 Elton Acolatse
77 Mohamed Buya
27 Jonathan Legear

Coach: M. Brys

Anderlecht

4-4-2
16 Thomas Didillon G
56 Alexis Saelemaekers D
55 Ognjen Vranješ D
45 Sebastiaan Bornauw D
44 Antonio Milić D
48 Albert Sambi Lokonga F
5 Evgeny Makarenko M
51 Yari Verschaeren M
40 Francis Amuzu F
8 Pieter Gerkens M
19 Ivan Santini F
Bench (8)
1 Frank Boeckx
4 Bubacarr Sanneh
12 Dennis Appiah
47 Abdoul Dante
3 Jamie Lawrence
99 Zakaria Bakkali
39 Edo Kayembe
49 Jeremy Doku

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wesley Alen · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.