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Pro League
Referee: Smet
Anderlecht
S T S S S
3–1
Full-time
St Truiden
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
3,0
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 13/21 matches
Win Ø 47%
69%
24%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
62%
52%
Both score Ø 49%
46%
52%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
2,4
1,1
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
9 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 6. · St Truiden 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 16 11 3 2 +15 36
2 Club Brugge 15 11 2 2 +26 35
3 Mechelen 21 10 5 6 +5 35
4 Standard 22 9 7 6 +12 34
5 Genk 21 9 4 8 -4 31
6 Anderlecht 13 9 2 2 +22 29
7 Oostende 14 9 2 3 +16 29
8 Gent 14 8 2 4 +8 26
9 Charleroi 15 7 5 3 +4 26
10 Lokeren 22 6 6 10 -6 24
11 Kortrijk 22 6 6 10 -12 24
12 St Truiden 21 5 5 11 -8 20
13 Eupen 22 5 5 12 -19 20
14 Beveren 21 4 7 10 -13 19
15 Westerlo 21 3 6 12 -22 15
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 22 4 3 15 -24 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht St Truiden
1–0 Y. Tielemans
31′
40′
🟨 Yohan Boli
Half-time 1–0
57′
🟨 Steven De Petter
63′
🔁 Cristian Ceballos
↦ S. Peeters
2–0 N. Stanciu
65′
71′
P. Gerkens 2–1
B. Bolingoli Mbombo
A. Najar 🔁
↦ M. Bruno
72′
72′
🔁 N. Proschwitz
↦ Y. Boli
82′
🔁 P. Valdivia
↦ S. De Petter
A. Trebel 🔁
↦ A. Chipciu
84′
90′
🟨 Ruben Fernandes
I. Thelin 🔁
↦ Ł. Teodorczyk
90′
3–1 Y. Tielemans
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
23 F. Boeckx G
37 I. Obradović D
14 B. Nuytinck D
12 D. Appiah D
5 U. Spajić D
11 A. Chipciu F
73 N. Stanciu M
10 M. Bruno M
32 L. Dendoncker M
31 Y. Tielemans M
91 Ł. Teodorczyk F
Bench (7)
7 A. Najar
25 A. Trebel
24 I. Thelin
1 D. Roef
3 O. Deschacht
17 Capel
41 E. Sowah Adjei

Coach: R. Weiler

St Truiden

5-3-2
21 L. Pirard
23 S. Kotysch
26 Ruben Fernandes
20 D. Dussaut
2 B. Mechele D
31 B. Bolingoli Mbombo F
6 S. De Petter
8 S. Peeters
14 P. Gerkens
28 Vetokele F
11 Y. Boli
Bench (7)
19 Cristian Ceballos
9 N. Proschwitz
24 P. Valdivia
4 Jorge Pulido
10 R. Bezus
13 S. Bruzzese
16 C. Cuevas

Coach: I. Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.