← Match Finder
Primeira Liga
Referee: Hélder Carvalho
Arouca
T U S T U
1–0
Full-time
Santa Clara
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Arouca Santa Clara
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 27%
37%
16%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 47%
47%
47%
Average goals
2,7
2,1
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
9 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
4 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Arouca 7. · Santa Clara 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 20 17 2 1 +39 53
2 Porto 19 14 3 2 +34 45
3 Sp Braga 19 14 1 4 +24 43
4 Sp Lisbon 19 12 2 5 +20 38
5 Guimaraes 19 9 3 7 -2 30
6 Casa Pia 19 9 3 7 -2 30
7 Arouca 19 7 6 6 -6 27
8 Chaves 20 6 8 6 -5 26
9 Vizela 20 7 4 9 +2 25
10 Boavista 19 7 4 8 -8 25
11 Portimonense 19 7 2 10 -9 23
12 Estoril 19 6 4 9 -6 22
13 Rio Ave 19 5 6 8 -6 21
14 Famalicao 19 6 3 10 -9 21
15 Gil Vicente 19 5 4 10 -8 19
16 Santa Clara 19 3 6 10 -11 15
17 Maritimo 19 3 4 12 -23 13
18 Pacos Ferreira 20 2 3 15 -24 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arouca Santa Clara
9′
🟨 Victor Bobsin
30′
🟨 Costinha
Ismaila Soro 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Adriano
↦ Costinha
1–0 A. Ruiz
49′
Oriol Busquets 🔁
↦ I. Soro
52′
57′
🔁 Rildo
↦ Victor Bobsin
Oday Dabbagh ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
63′
B. Michel 🔁
↦ Oday Dabbagh
64′
83′
🔁 F. Stevanović
↦ Paulo Henrique
84′
🔁 Xavi Quintillà
↦ Allano
Ignacio de Arruabarrena 🟨
86′
87′
🟨 Kento Misao
88′
🔁 K. Tagawa
↦ Ítalo
Arsénio 🔁
↦ Antony
90′
96′
🟨 Xavier Quintilla
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Arouca

4-2-3-1
12 I. De Arruabarrena G
21 B. Milovanov D
13 João Basso D
44 N. Galović D
6 Quaresma D
23 I. Soro M
5 David Simão M
2 M. Sylla M
10 A. Ruiz M
11 Antony M
15 Oday Dabbagh F
Bench (9)
14 Oriol Busquets
18 B. Michel
8 Arsénio
3 J. Opoku
16 Thiago
20 Pedro Moreira
7 Y. Lawal
17 Y. Moses
9 Bruno Marques

Coach: Armando Evangelista

Santa Clara

4-1-4-1
12 Gabriel Batista G
13 Diogo Calila D
4 K. Boateng D
44 Ítalo D
16 Paulo Henrique D
40 K. Misao M
49 Gabriel Silva M
80 Victor Bobsin M
11 Costinha M
7 Allano M
24 W. González F
Bench (9)
20 Adriano
37 Rildo
22 F. Stevanović
3 Xavi Quintillà
9 K. Tagawa
2 Ygor Nogueira
31 Nanú
74 M. Díaz
6 Bruno Jordão

Coach: Jorge Simão

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,14
U
3,26
B
3,51
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,27
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hélder Carvalho · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.