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Primeira Liga

Referee: Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Guimaraes

S S S T T

3–2

Full-time

Chaves

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Chaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%

16 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

21 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
5	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
8	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.