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Primeira Liga
Referee: Tiago Martins
Porto
S S S S S
7–0
Full-time
Portimonense
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Portimonense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,8
This season — Primeira Liga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 57%
86%
28%
Points per game
2,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
69%
34%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
3,1
2,1
Scored
2,5
0,9
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

72% Possession 28%
26 Shots 3
12 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Porto 1. · Portimonense 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 29 25 4 0 +53 79
2 Sp Lisbon 29 23 4 2 +41 73
3 Benfica 29 20 4 5 +44 64
4 Sp Braga 29 16 7 6 +19 55
5 Gil Vicente 30 12 11 7 +10 47
6 Guimaraes 30 12 6 12 +4 42
7 Maritimo 30 9 9 12 -3 36
8 Pacos Ferreira 30 9 9 12 -11 36
9 Santa Clara 30 8 11 11 -14 35
10 Estoril 29 8 10 11 -4 34
11 Boavista 30 6 15 9 -11 33
12 Portimonense 29 8 8 13 -7 32
13 Famalicao 30 6 11 13 -10 29
14 Vizela 30 6 11 13 -17 29
15 Arouca 30 6 9 15 -23 27
16 Moreirense 30 6 8 16 -18 26
17 Tondela 30 7 4 19 -23 25
18 Belenenses 30 5 9 16 -30 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Porto Portimonense
1–0 M. Taremi
Fábio Vieira
19′
2–0 M. Grujić
M. Taremi
28′
3–0 M. Taremi
34′
4–0 Evanilson
Pepê Aquino
40′
Half-time 4–0
Wendell 🔁
↦ Z. Sanusi
46′
Francisco Conceição 🔁
↦ Otávio
46′
5–0 M. Taremi
Fábio Vieira
47′
6–0 Pepe
Vitinha
55′
7–0 Evanilson
Francisco Conceição
60′
Fábio Cardoso 🔁
↦ Pepe
64′
Toni Martínez 🔁
↦ M. Taremi
64′
S. Eustáquio 🔁
↦ Vitinha
64′
73′
🔁 Bruno Reis
↦ Carlinhos
80′
🔁 Diogo Rodrigues
↦ Henrique Jocú
80′
🔁 Paulo Estrela
↦ Fabricio
81′
🟨 Wilinton Aponza
84′
🟨 Julien Da Costa
Full-time 7–0

Line-ups

Porto

4-4-1-1
99 Diogo Costa G
3 Pepe D
19 C. Mbemba D
12 Z. Sanusi D
25 Otávio M
16 M. Grujić M
20 Vitinha M
50 Fábio Vieira F
9 M. Taremi M
11 Pepê Aquino D
30 Evanilson F
Bench (9)
22 Wendell
10 Francisco Conceição
2 Fábio Cardoso
29 Toni Martínez
46 S. Eustáquio
38 Fernando
42 D. Loader
1 A. Marchesín
13 Galeno

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Portimonense

5-4-1
12 P. Niazmand G
29 J. Da Costa D
18 F. Moufi D
26 Sana Gomes D
76 Carlinhos M
23 A. Lazaar D
21 Pedro Sá D
6 Henrique Jocú M
39 W. Aponza F
9 Fabricio M
11 Anderson Oliveira M
Bench (8)
85 Bruno Reis
42 Diogo Rodrigues
38 Paulo Estrela
94 Samuel
70 I. Angulo
22 Filipe Relvas
32 K. Nakamura
20 Luquinhas

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,13
U
7,99
B
19,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,47
U2,5
2,64
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tiago Martins · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.