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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hélder Malheiro
Vizela
T U U T S
0–4
Full-time
Porto
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vizela Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 51%
15%
86%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
46%
71%
Both score Ø 63%
69%
57%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,1
2,4
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

34% Possession 66%
9 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 11
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vizela 13. · Porto 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 15 13 2 0 +22 41
2 Porto 14 12 2 0 +26 38
3 Benfica 15 12 1 2 +34 37
4 Sp Braga 14 7 4 3 +7 25
5 Estoril 15 6 7 2 +6 25
6 Portimonense 15 7 3 5 +2 24
7 Guimaraes 15 6 4 5 +5 22
8 Gil Vicente 15 5 5 5 +2 20
9 Boavista 15 3 6 6 -8 15
10 Maritimo 15 3 5 7 -8 14
11 Pacos Ferreira 15 3 5 7 -8 14
12 Arouca 15 3 5 7 -9 14
13 Vizela 13 2 7 4 -7 13
14 Santa Clara 15 3 4 8 -17 13
15 Tondela 14 4 0 10 -10 12
16 Famalicao 15 2 5 8 -11 11
17 Moreirense 14 1 6 7 -10 9
18 Belenenses 13 1 5 7 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vizela Porto
14′
L. Díaz 0–1
Otávio
19′
Otávio 0–2
L. Díaz
Kevin Zohi 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–2
Nuno Moreira 🔁
↦ K. Zohi
46′
47′
Z. Sanusi 0–3
Evanilson
Guilherme Schettine 🟥
52′
Guilherme Schettine ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
52′
59′
🔁 Fábio Vieira
↦ Otávio
59′
🔁 J. Corona
↦ L. Díaz
62′
🟨 Jesús Corona
64′
Samú 1–3
own goal
75′
🔁 Sérgio Oliveira
↦ M. Uribe
75′
🔁 Wendell
↦ Z. Sanusi
A. Méndez 🔁
↦ H. Zagbayou
77′
82′
🔁 Bruno Costa
↦ Vitinha
Cassiano 🔁
↦ Kiko Bondoso
83′
Igor Julião 🔁
↦ K. Kouao
88′
Raphael Guzzo 🔁
↦ Samú
89′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Vizela

4-2-3-1
87 Charles G
37 R. Ofori D
3 Bruno Wilson D
10 Kiko Bondoso M
39 K. Kouao D
25 M. Aidara D
17 Marcos Paulo M
20 Samú M
13 H. Zagbayou M
95 Guilherme Schettine F
22 K. Zohi M
Bench (9)
79 Nuno Moreira
19 A. Méndez
9 Cassiano
14 Igor Julião
8 Raphael Guzzo
24 Kiki Afonso
99 F. Cann
82 Tomás Silva
1 Pedro Silva

Coach: Álvaro Pacheco

Porto

4-4-2
99 Diogo Costa G
19 C. Mbemba D
2 Fábio Cardoso D
12 Z. Sanusi D
8 M. Uribe M
25 Otávio M
20 Vitinha M
9 M. Taremi F
7 L. Díaz M
23 João Mário D
30 Evanilson F
Bench (9)
50 Fábio Vieira
17 J. Corona
27 Sérgio Oliveira
22 Wendell
28 Bruno Costa
29 Toni Martínez
1 A. Marchesín
43 João Marcelo
11 Pepê Aquino

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,36
U
5,11
B ✓
1,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,21
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hélder Malheiro · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.