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Primeira Liga
Referee: Tiago Martins
1–1
Full-time
Boavista
U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
44%
11%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 6. · Boavista 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 10 8 2 0 +17 26
2 Benfica 9 7 0 2 +10 21
3 Porto 9 6 1 2 +10 19
4 Sp Braga 9 6 0 3 +5 18
5 Guimaraes 9 5 1 3 +0 16
6 Pacos Ferreira 9 4 2 3 +1 14
7 Santa Clara 9 4 1 4 +1 13
8 Belenenses 10 2 5 3 -2 11
9 Rio Ave 9 2 5 2 -2 11
10 Famalicao 10 2 5 3 -5 11
11 Nacional 9 2 4 3 -2 10
12 Moreirense 10 2 4 4 -3 10
13 Maritimo 10 3 1 6 -4 10
14 Gil Vicente 9 2 3 4 -2 9
15 Tondela 10 2 3 5 -9 9
16 Farense 10 2 2 6 -4 8
17 Boavista 9 1 5 3 -5 8
18 Portimonense 10 2 2 6 -6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pacos Ferreira Boavista
38′
🟨 Yanis Hamache
Douglas Tanque 🟨
40′
45′
🟨 Alberth Elis
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Javi García
61′
A. Elis 0–1
A. Gomes
M. Diaby 🔁
↦ Luíz Carlos
63′
Adriano Castanheira 🔁
↦ Hélder Ferreira
64′
64′
🔁 Nuno Santos
↦ Gustavo
68′
🔁 J. Gómez
↦ C. Castro
75′
🔁 Show
↦ Y. Njie
Zé Uilton 🔁
↦ Bruno Costa
77′
João Pedro 🔁
↦ Fernando Fonseca
77′
1–1 João Pedro
83′
João Amaral 🔁
↦ L. Singh
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Pacos Ferreira

4-3-3
1 Jordi G
44 Marcelo D
29 Fernando Fonseca D
26 Maracás D
5 O. Reabciuk D
22 Luíz Carlos M
10 Bruno Costa M
46 S. Eustáquio M
99 Douglas Tanque F
7 Hélder Ferreira F
11 L. Singh F
Bench (9)
24 M. Diaby
17 Adriano Castanheira
9 Zé Uilton
45 João Pedro
77 João Amaral
6 Martín Calderón
2 Marco Baixinho
31 Michael
23 Lucas Silva

Coach: Pepa

Boavista

4-3-3
20 Léo Jardim G
5 C. Awaziem D
25 Y. Hamache D
2 R. Cannon D
42 C. Castro D
6 Javi García M
10 A. Gomes F
30 Paulinho M
17 A. Elis F
8 Gustavo M
11 Y. Njie F
Bench (9)
7 Nuno Santos
4 J. Gómez
23 Show
19 Ricardo Mangas
73 Tiago Morais
9 J. Benguche
22 Nathan
24 S. Pérez
1 Rafael Bracali

Coach: Jesualdo Ferreira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
U ✓
3,28
B
3,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tiago Martins · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.