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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hélder Malheiro

Gil Vicente

S T U U

0–0

Full-time

Vitoria Setubal

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Vitoria Setubal

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 21%

25%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,3

Scored

0,8

0,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gil Vicente 9. · Vitoria Setubal 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Famalicao	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Porto	4	3	0	1	+9	9
3	Boavista	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Moreirense	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Sp Lisbon	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Rio Ave	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Tondela	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Gil Vicente	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Sp Braga	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Maritimo	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Portimonense	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Aves	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Setubal	4	0	3	1	-4	3
16	Guimaraes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Belenenses	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	2	1	-4	2
19	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Gil Vicente	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Benfica	2	1	0	1	+3	3
7	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Aves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Guimaraes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Maritimo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Famalicao	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Tondela	3	1	2	0	+1	5
3	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Belenenses	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Moreirense	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Sp Braga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-5	1
16	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Aves	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.