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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hugo Miguel

Gil Vicente

S T

1–1

Full-time

Sp Braga

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Sp Braga

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

15 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gil Vicente 12. · Sp Braga 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	4	3	0	1	+9	9
2	Sp Lisbon	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+5	6
4	Famalicao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Boavista	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Moreirense	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	Tondela	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Portimonense	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+3	3
11	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Gil Vicente	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Aves	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Belenenses	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Setubal	3	0	2	1	-4	2
16	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	2	1	-4	2
17	Maritimo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Benfica	2	1	0	1	+3	3
5	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Aves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Maritimo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tondela	3	1	2	0	+1	5
2	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Belenenses	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Moreirense	3	0	2	1	-2	2
10	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-5	1
12	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Setubal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Aves	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.