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Eredivisie

Referee: J Manschot

NAC Breda

U T S S T

3–3

Full-time

Feyenoord

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Feyenoord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

0,9

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

52%

64%

Both score Ø 52%

48%

56%

Average goals

2,6

3,6

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

1,03 xG 1,64

43% Possession 57%

12 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 9

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match NAC Breda 17. · Feyenoord 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	26	22	2	2	+44	+28.1	68
2	Feyenoord	25	15	3	7	+20	+21.5	48
3	Twente	26	11	11	4	+18	+24.8	44
4	Nijmegen	25	12	7	6	+18	+6.3	43
5	Ajax	25	10	11	4	+12	+6.0	41
6	AZ Alkmaar	26	11	6	9	+1	+14.6	39
7	Sparta Rotterdam	26	11	5	10	-10	-2.3	38
8	Heerenveen	25	10	6	9	+0	+8.8	36
9	Utrecht	25	9	7	9	+7	+2.7	34
10	Groningen	25	10	4	11	+2	+9.8	34
11	For Sittard	26	9	5	12	-9	-12.6	32
12	Go Ahead Eagles	26	6	11	9	-4	-15.5	29
13	Zwolle	26	7	8	11	-16	-17.1	29
14	Volendam	25	7	6	12	-12	-21.6	27
15	Excelsior	26	7	5	14	-17	-13.0	26
16	Telstar	26	5	9	12	-7	-11.5	24
17	NAC Breda	25	5	7	13	-14	-7.8	22
18	Heracles	26	5	3	18	-33	-21.2	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	2	1	+23	+15.9	32
2	Feyenoord	13	9	1	3	+13	+14.9	28
3	Twente	13	7	4	2	+10	+14.8	25
4	Ajax	12	7	3	2	+11	+11.0	24
5	Nijmegen	12	7	2	3	+12	+7.8	23
6	Volendam	13	6	4	3	+5	-3.7	22
7	For Sittard	13	6	3	4	+0	-0.3	21
8	Utrecht	12	6	2	4	+9	+5.4	20
9	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	5	2	+4	+9.0	20
10	Heerenveen	13	5	5	3	+2	+9.7	20
11	Zwolle	12	6	2	4	+0	-0.4	20
12	Sparta Rotterdam	13	5	4	4	-5	+0.2	19
13	Groningen	13	5	3	5	+6	+5.9	18
14	Go Ahead Eagles	13	4	6	3	+2	+1.9	18
15	NAC Breda	13	4	3	6	-3	+3.2	15
16	Excelsior	14	4	2	8	-5	-4.3	14
17	Heracles	13	4	2	7	-7	-6.1	14
18	Telstar	13	2	5	6	-3	-0.9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	12	0	1	+21	+12.2	36
2	Feyenoord	12	6	2	4	+7	+6.7	20
3	Nijmegen	13	5	5	3	+6	-1.4	20
4	Twente	13	4	7	2	+8	+10.0	19
5	AZ Alkmaar	14	6	1	7	-3	+5.6	19
6	Sparta Rotterdam	13	6	1	6	-5	-2.5	19
7	Ajax	13	3	8	2	+1	-5.0	17
8	Heerenveen	12	5	1	6	-2	-0.9	16
9	Groningen	12	5	1	6	-4	+3.9	16
10	Utrecht	13	3	5	5	-2	-2.7	14
11	Telstar	13	3	4	6	-4	-10.6	13
12	Excelsior	12	3	3	6	-12	-8.7	12
13	Go Ahead Eagles	13	2	5	6	-6	-17.4	11
14	For Sittard	13	3	2	8	-9	-12.3	11
15	Zwolle	14	1	6	7	-16	-16.7	9
16	NAC Breda	12	1	4	7	-11	-11.1	7
17	Volendam	12	1	2	9	-17	-17.9	5
18	Heracles	13	1	1	11	-26	-15.2	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.