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Süper Lig
Referee: O Guldibi
Gaziantep
T S T T U
1–1
Full-time
Karagumruk
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gaziantep Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 21%
29%
13%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
58%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,92 xG 0,80
48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 12
3 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gaziantep 10. · Karagumruk 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 25 19 4 2 +41 +26.6 61
2 Fenerbahce 24 15 9 0 +31 +26.5 54
3 Trabzonspor 24 15 6 3 +20 +5.7 51
4 Besiktas 25 13 7 5 +15 +22.6 46
5 Buyuksehyr 25 12 6 7 +17 +5.5 42
6 Goztep 25 11 9 5 +10 +4.4 42
7 Samsunspor 24 7 11 6 -2 +6.5 32
8 Rizespor 25 7 9 9 -3 +0.7 30
9 Kocaelispor 24 8 6 10 -4 -0.9 30
10 Gaziantep 24 7 8 9 -10 -4.4 29
11 Alanyaspor 24 5 11 8 -4 -9.1 26
12 Genclerbirligi 24 6 6 12 -6 -10.7 24
13 Antalyaspor 25 6 6 13 -15 -18.5 24
14 Konyaspor 24 5 8 11 -10 -5.3 23
15 Eyüpspor 24 5 7 12 -16 -14.9 22
16 Kasimpasa 24 4 8 12 -15 -10.2 20
17 Kayserispor 24 3 11 10 -25 -11.7 20
18 Karagumruk 24 3 4 17 -24 -12.7 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gaziantep Karagumruk
M. Abena 🔁
↦ K. Rodrigues
20′
33′
🟨 Filip Mladenović
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 F. Kurucuk
↦ D. Biraschi
D. Sorescu 🔁
↦ M. Kabasakal
46′
1–0 A. Maxim
M. Bayo
54′
V. Gidado 🔁
↦ D. Camara
59′
59′
🔁 Serginho
↦ S. Larsson
59′
🔁 T. Cukur
↦ D. Verde
59′
🔁 S. Babicka
↦ M. Kranevitter
63′
Serginho 1–1
T. Cukur
Christophe Lungoyi 🟨
68′
Tayyip Talha Sanuç 🟨
69′
N. Sangare 🔁
↦ L. Perez
72′
Y. Kabadayi 🔁
↦ K. Gassama
72′
80′
🔁 Kone
↦ B. Kalayci
Yusuf Kabadayi 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Gaziantep

4-2-3-1
20 Z. Gorgen G
2 L. Perez D
23 T. T. Sanuc D
5 N. Mujakic D
77 K. Rodrigues D
6 M. Kabasakal M
44 A. Maxim M
17 K. Gassama M
3 D. Camara M
11 C. Lungoyi M
9 M. Bayo F
Bench (10)
71 M. Bozan
30 N. Sangare
14 M. Abena
18 D. Sorescu
8 V. Gidado
4 A. Kizildag
61 O. Ozcicek
32 Y. Kabadayi
85 M. Akmelek
83 M. Mujdeci

Coach: Mustafa Aksoy

Karagumruk

4-2-3-1
13 I. Grbic G
47 R. Esgaio D
4 D. Biraschi D
3 I. Lichnovsky D
25 F. Mladenovic D
5 M. Kranevitter M
6 B. Elmaz M
10 D. Verde M
8 B. Ozcan M
72 B. Kalayci M
23 S. Larsson F
Bench (10)
99 F. Beklevic
22 F. Kurucuk
70 Serginho
33 C. Kurukalip
21 T. Cukur
80 S. Babicka
24 B. Ersoy
88 T. Ahmed
15 Kone
19 Y. Onogo

Coach: Onur Korkmaz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,89
U ✓
3,49
B
3,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.