La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Getafe
Betis
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | +46 | +33.7 | 67 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | +33 | +30.5 | 63 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | +21 | +13.4 | 54 |
| 4 |
Villarreal
|
27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | +18 | +6.8 | 54 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | +10 | +9.0 | 43 |
| 6 |
Celta
|
27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | +7 | +4.8 | 40 |
| 7 |
Espanol
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | -6 | -1.9 | 36 |
| 8 |
Sociedad
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | -1 | -2.4 | 35 |
| 9 |
Ath Bilbao
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -7 | +9.4 | 35 |
| 10 |
Osasuna
|
27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | +0 | -4.2 | 34 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -8 | -7.7 | 32 |
| 12 |
Girona
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -15 | -7.8 | 31 |
| 13 |
Vallecano
|
26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -6 | +2.4 | 30 |
| 14 |
Sevilla
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -7 | -14.6 | 30 |
| 15 |
Valencia
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -12 | -0.8 | 29 |
| 16 |
Alaves
|
26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -11 | -3.2 | 27 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | -6 | -17.5 | 26 |
| 18 |
Mallorca
|
27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -13 | -17.8 | 25 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -16 | -13.0 | 22 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | -27 | -19.1 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Soria
G
Djene
D
A. Abqar
D
Z. Romero
D
J. Iglesias
D
Kiko Femenia
M
L. Milla
M
M. Satriano
M
L. Vazquez
F
Coach: Jose Bordalas Jimenez
A. Valles
G
A. Ortiz
D
M. Bartra
D
V. Gomez
D
J. Firpo
D
N. Deossa
M
S. Altimira
M
A. Fidalgo
M
Cucho Hernandez
F
A. Ezzalzouli
F
Coach: Manuel Pellegrini
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Real Madrid
Getafe
Getafe
Sevilla
Getafe
Villarreal
Alaves
Getafe
Getafe
Celta
F Maeso · 11 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.