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Ekstraklasa

Referee: J Przybyl

Rakow

U U S T S

2–0

Full-time

Pogon Szczecin

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Pogon Szczecin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 41%

43%

39%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

48%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

52%

61%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,15 xG 0,22

64% Possession 36%

23 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 0

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Rakow 6. · Pogon Szczecin 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zaglebie	24	11	8	5	+12	-1.6	41
2	Jagiellonia	23	10	8	5	+10	-2.0	38
3	Lech Poznan	24	10	8	6	+5	+16.2	38
4	Lechia Gdansk	24	10	6	8	+4	+3.2	36
5	Gornik Zabrze	24	10	5	9	+2	-3.8	35
6	Rakow	23	10	4	9	+2	+5.1	34
7	Cracovia	23	8	9	6	+4	+3.1	33
8	Wisla Plock	23	8	9	6	+4	+1.9	33
9	Korona Kielce	24	9	6	9	+2	-4.0	33
10	GKS Katowice	23	10	3	10	+0	-7.1	33
11	Radomiak Radom	24	8	8	8	+4	+1.2	32
12	Pogon Szczecin	23	9	4	10	-2	+10.2	31
13	Motor Lublin	24	7	10	7	-5	-6.7	31
14	Piast Gliwice	24	8	5	11	-4	-6.5	29
15	Widzew Lodz	24	8	3	13	-3	+4.9	27
16	Arka Gdynia	23	7	5	11	-19	-8.1	26
17	Legia	23	5	10	8	-2	-0.1	25
18	Nieciecza	24	5	7	12	-14	-5.9	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arka Gdynia	12	7	4	1	+5	-3.6	25
2	Wisla Plock	12	7	3	2	+8	+3.6	24
3	Radomiak Radom	12	7	2	3	+14	+7.7	23
4	Zaglebie	12	6	5	1	+13	+3.2	23
5	Pogon Szczecin	12	7	2	3	+8	+9.0	23
6	Gornik Zabrze	12	7	1	4	+9	+2.5	22
7	Lechia Gdansk	12	6	3	3	+10	+3.8	21
8	Jagiellonia	10	6	2	2	+10	+2.9	20
9	GKS Katowice	12	6	2	4	+3	-1.7	20
10	Lech Poznan	12	5	4	3	+3	+10.8	19
11	Motor Lublin	13	4	7	2	+3	+0.9	19
12	Widzew Lodz	12	5	3	4	+2	+2.9	18
13	Cracovia	11	4	5	2	+4	+5.7	17
14	Korona Kielce	12	5	2	5	+2	+0.8	17
15	Legia	11	4	4	3	+4	+1.3	16
16	Rakow	11	4	3	4	+0	+2.4	15
17	Piast Gliwice	12	4	3	5	-1	-0.1	15
18	Nieciecza	12	2	4	6	-8	-3.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	12	6	1	5	+2	+2.7	19
2	Lech Poznan	12	5	4	3	+2	+5.4	19
3	Jagiellonia	13	4	6	3	+0	-4.8	18
4	Zaglebie	12	5	3	4	-1	-4.7	18
5	Cracovia	12	4	4	4	+0	-2.6	16
6	Korona Kielce	12	4	4	4	+0	-4.9	16
7	Lechia Gdansk	12	4	3	5	-6	-0.6	15
8	Piast Gliwice	12	4	2	6	-3	-6.4	14
9	GKS Katowice	11	4	1	6	-3	-5.4	13
10	Gornik Zabrze	12	3	4	5	-7	-6.4	13
11	Nieciecza	12	3	3	6	-6	-2.8	12
12	Motor Lublin	11	3	3	5	-8	-7.7	12
13	Wisla Plock	11	1	6	4	-4	-1.6	9
14	Widzew Lodz	12	3	0	9	-5	+2.0	9
15	Legia	12	1	6	5	-6	-1.4	9
16	Radomiak Radom	12	1	6	5	-10	-6.5	9
17	Pogon Szczecin	11	2	2	7	-10	+1.1	8
18	Arka Gdynia	11	0	1	10	-24	-4.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.