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Svenska Cupen

Elfsborg

T T T S S

1–2

Full-time

Sirius

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

1,7

3,3

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

5,3

Scored

2,0

5,0

Conceded

0,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+4,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Elfsborg 7. · Sirius 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	4	4	0	0	+14	12
2	GAIS	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Mjallby	4	4	0	0	+7	12
4	Sirius	3	3	0	0	+14	9
5	Hacken	3	3	0	0	+12	9
6	Brommapojkarna	3	3	0	0	+8	9
7	Elfsborg	3	3	0	0	+6	9
8	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+6	9
9	Halmstad	3	3	0	0	+5	9
10	Norrkoping	4	3	0	1	+3	9
11	Goteborg	3	2	1	0	+8	7
12	Kalmar	4	2	1	1	+4	7
13	Degerfors	3	2	1	0	+4	7
14	Oster	4	2	1	1	+0	7
15	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+9	6
16	AIK	3	2	0	1	+8	6
17	Falkenbergs FF	3	2	0	1	+1	6
18	IF Karlstad	4	2	0	2	+0	6
19	Vasteras SK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
20	Landskrona	4	2	0	2	-2	6
21	IK brage	4	2	0	2	-3	6
22	IFK Skövde	4	2	0	2	-7	6
23	Orgryte	4	1	2	1	-2	5
24	Täby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Varnamo	4	1	1	2	+0	4
26	Orebro SK	4	1	1	2	-1	4
27	Karlberg	2	1	0	1	+4	3
28	Oddevold	3	1	0	2	+2	3
29	Lund	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Olympic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Onsala	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Enköping	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Eskilsminne	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Assyriska FF	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Zenith	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Haninge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Sölvesborg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Öckerö	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Ostersunds FK	3	0	3	0	+0	3
42	Lödde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Syrianska FC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Myresjö / Vetlanda	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Varberg	3	1	0	2	-1	3
47	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Torstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Viggbyholms IK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Korsnäs	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Sandviken	4	1	0	3	-3	3
52	Räppe	2	1	0	1	-3	3
53	Sylvia	2	1	0	1	-3	3
54	Qviding FIF	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	Nässjö	2	1	0	1	-5	3
56	Sundsvall	3	1	0	2	-5	3
57	FBK Karlstad	2	1	0	1	-5	3
58	Trelleborg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
59	Helsingborg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
60	Friska Viljor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Högaborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Torslanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Vänersborgs FK	2	0	1	1	-1	1
64	Centern	2	0	1	1	-2	1
65	Hudiksvall	2	0	1	1	-7	1
66	Rosengård	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Utsikten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Gute	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Gimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Ursvik	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Hjulsbro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Farsta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Stenungsund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Kristianstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Karlslund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Berga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Arameiska / Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Västboås	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Dvärsätt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Jönköping Torpa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Eslov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	IFK Tidaholm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Franke	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Viken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Oster	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Täby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Onsala	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Enköping	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	IK brage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Assyriska FF	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Öckerö	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Lödde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
23	Torstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Viggbyholms IK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
25	Korsnäs	2	1	0	1	-2	3
26	Räppe	2	1	0	1	-3	3
27	Sylvia	2	1	0	1	-3	3
28	IF Karlstad	3	1	0	2	-4	3
29	IFK Skövde	3	1	0	2	-10	3
30	Kalmar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Goteborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Varnamo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
33	Vänersborgs FK	2	0	1	1	-1	1
34	Centern	2	0	1	1	-2	1
35	Hudiksvall	2	0	1	1	-7	1
36	Lund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Gimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Ursvik	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Farsta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Stenungsund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Kubikenborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Karlslund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Orebro SK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Berga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	AIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Djurgarden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Sölvesborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Syrianska FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Västboås	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Dvärsätt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Myresjö / Vetlanda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Jönköping Torpa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Eslov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	IFK Tidaholm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Trelleborg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Viken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Qviding FIF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
73	Nässjö	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	AIK	2	2	0	0	+10	6
3	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Brommapojkarna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Elfsborg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Falkenbergs FF	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	Vasteras SK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
14	Orgryte	3	1	2	0	+1	5
15	Orebro SK	3	1	1	1	+1	4
16	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+8	3
17	Oddevold	2	1	0	1	+5	3
18	Karlberg	1	1	0	0	+5	3
19	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+5	3
20	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Kubikenborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Lund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	IFK Skövde	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Nässjö	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Sölvesborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Eskilsminne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Myresjö / Vetlanda	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Varnamo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Zenith	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Haninge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Syrianska FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Qviding FIF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	FBK Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Ostersunds FK	3	0	3	0	+0	3
38	Norrkoping	2	1	0	1	-1	3
39	Varberg	3	1	0	2	-1	3
40	Sandviken	3	1	0	2	-2	3
41	Trelleborg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
42	Oster	2	1	0	1	-3	3
43	Landskrona	3	1	0	2	-3	3
44	IK brage	3	1	0	2	-4	3
45	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	-4	3
46	Helsingborg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
47	Friska Viljor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Högaborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Torslanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Rosengård	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Utsikten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Gute	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Hjulsbro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Kristianstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Arameiska / Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Franke	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.