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Svenska Cupen
Goteborg
S U S U S
3–1
Full-time
Degerfors
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Degerfors
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
2,7
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Goteborg 13. · Degerfors 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sirius 4 4 0 0 +15 12
2 Hammarby 4 4 0 0 +14 12
3 GAIS 4 4 0 0 +10 12
4 Mjallby 4 4 0 0 +7 12
5 Hacken 3 3 0 0 +12 9
6 Djurgarden 4 3 0 1 +11 9
7 Brommapojkarna 4 3 0 1 +6 9
8 Malmo FF 3 3 0 0 +6 9
9 Elfsborg 4 3 0 1 +5 9
10 Halmstad 3 3 0 0 +5 9
11 Norrkoping 4 3 0 1 +3 9
12 Falkenbergs FF 4 3 0 1 +2 9
13 Goteborg 3 2 1 0 +8 7
14 Kalmar 4 2 1 1 +4 7
15 Degerfors 3 2 1 0 +4 7
16 Oster 4 2 1 1 +0 7
17 AIK 3 2 0 1 +8 6
18 IF Karlstad 4 2 0 2 +0 6
19 Vasteras SK 3 2 0 1 +0 6
20 Landskrona 4 2 0 2 -2 6
21 IK brage 4 2 0 2 -3 6
22 IFK Skövde 5 2 0 3 -8 6
23 Orgryte 4 1 2 1 -2 5
24 Täby 2 1 1 0 +1 4
25 Varnamo 4 1 1 2 +0 4
26 Orebro SK 4 1 1 2 -1 4
27 Sundsvall 4 1 1 2 -5 4
28 Helsingborg 4 1 1 2 -6 4
29 Karlberg 2 1 0 1 +4 3
30 Oddevold 3 1 0 2 +2 3
31 Lund 2 1 0 1 +2 3
32 Kubikenborg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Olympic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Järfälla 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Onsala 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Enköping 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Eskilsminne 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Assyriska FF 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Zenith 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Haninge 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Sölvesborg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Öckerö 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Ostersunds FK 3 0 3 0 +0 3
44 Lödde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Piteå 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Syrianska FC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Myresjö / Vetlanda 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Varberg 3 1 0 2 -1 3
49 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Torstorps 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Viggbyholms IK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Korsnäs 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Sandviken 4 1 0 3 -3 3
54 Räppe 2 1 0 1 -3 3
55 Sylvia 2 1 0 1 -3 3
56 Qviding FIF 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 Nässjö 2 1 0 1 -5 3
58 FBK Karlstad 2 1 0 1 -5 3
59 Trelleborg 3 1 0 2 -6 3
60 Friska Viljor 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Högaborg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Torslanda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Vänersborgs FK 2 0 1 1 -1 1
64 Centern 2 0 1 1 -2 1
65 Hudiksvall 2 0 1 1 -7 1
66 Rosengård 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Gauthiod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Utsikten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Gute 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Gimo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Ursvik 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Arlanda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Umeå FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Hjulsbro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Farsta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Stenungsund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Gefle IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Kristianstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Karlslund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Berga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Laholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Trollhättan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Arameiska / Syrianska 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Sollentuna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Västboås 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Dvärsätt 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Balkan 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Jönköping Torpa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Eslov 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 IFK Tidaholm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 Franke 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Skellefteå 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Viken 1 0 0 1 -4 0
96 Stocksund 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goteborg Degerfors
1–0 M. Fenger
2′
9′
🟨 D. Vukojevic
2–0 K. Thordarson
24′
3–0 S. Alioum
31′
43′
🟨 J. Pikkarainen
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 L. Fritzson
↦ O. Leonardsson
G. Ersoy 🟨
50′
A. Carlsson 🔁
↦ V. Andersson
62′
A. Jallow 🔁
↦ G. Ersoy
64′
A. Bergmark-Wiberg 🔁
↦ S. Alioum
64′
65′
🔁 G. Yiriyon Yaw
↦ K. Karlsson
65′
🔁 Z. Salifu
↦ M. Rafferty
71′
🔁 E. Barsoum
↦ D. Vukojevic
75′
🔁 A. Berisson
↦ B. Hussein
J. Bager 🔁
↦ R. Yeboah
81′
B. Brantlind 🔁
↦ K. Thordarson
81′
84′
A. Berisson 3–1
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Goteborg

12 V. Andersson
20 G. Ersoy
4 R. Yeboah
3 A. Erlingmark
22 N. Tolf
16 F. Ottosson
23 K. Thordarson
15 D. Kruse
11 S. Alioum
9 M. Fenger
14 T. Heintz
Bench (9)
31 A. Carlsson
5 J. Bager
7 S. Clemmensen
8 I. Jagne
17 A. Jallow
26 B. Brantlind
27 A. Boren
29 A. Bergmark-Wiberg
30 T. Coimbra

Coach: Stefan Billborn

Degerfors

38 M. Igonen
6 D. Sundgren
7 S. Ohlsson
5 J. Pikkarainen
16 S. Ohlsson
4 K. Karlsson
8 B. Hussein
22 N. Girmai
11 D. Vukojevic
10 M. Rafferty
24 O. Leonardsson
Bench (9)
25 R. Forsell
12 E. Lindell
13 G. Yiriyon Yaw
14 L. Fritzson
15 N. Moro
20 E. Barsoum
27 Z. Salifu
28 J. Hernandez
31 A. Berisson

Coach: William Lundin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.