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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
NAC Breda
T U U T S
1–0
Full-time
Volendam
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Volendam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 22%
17%
26%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
52%
65%
Both score Ø 59%
52%
65%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,39 xG 0,52
52% Possession 48%
17 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match NAC Breda 16. · Volendam 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 24 20 2 2 +41 +25.3 62
2 Feyenoord 23 14 3 6 +21 +21.0 45
3 Nijmegen 23 12 6 5 +19 +7.7 42
4 Ajax 22 10 9 3 +14 +6.6 39
5 Sparta Rotterdam 23 11 4 8 -7 -1.8 37
6 AZ Alkmaar 23 10 6 7 +2 +15.3 36
7 Twente 23 8 11 4 +12 +24.3 35
8 Groningen 22 9 4 9 +2 +7.8 31
9 Heerenveen 23 8 6 9 -2 +9.2 30
10 Utrecht 22 8 5 9 +5 -0.9 29
11 For Sittard 24 8 5 11 -7 -13.8 29
12 Excelsior 24 7 5 12 -15 -15.3 26
13 Zwolle 23 7 5 11 -16 -16.3 26
14 Volendam 23 6 6 11 -12 -19.0 24
15 Go Ahead Eagles 23 4 11 8 -6 -15.6 23
16 NAC Breda 23 4 7 12 -12 -7.8 19
17 Telstar 23 3 9 11 -12 -11.4 18
18 Heracles 23 5 2 16 -27 -15.5 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

NAC Breda Volendam
Charles-Andreas Brym 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
E. Mahmutovic 🔁
↦ D. Odoi
54′
55′
🟨 Dave Kwakman
56′
🔁 J. Bacuna
↦ O. Kokcu
M. Nassoh 🔁
↦ A. Salama
64′
P. Reulen 🔁
↦ L. Holtby
64′
75′
🔁 A. Oehlers
↦ B. Pauwels
75′
🔁 J. Ideho
↦ B. Ould-Chikh
75′
🔁 N. Bukala
↦ R. van Cruijsen
80′
🟨 Nordin Bukala
B. Lucassen 🔁
↦ C. Valerius
80′
R. Paula 🔁
↦ M. Balard
80′
81′
🟨 Joel Ideho
83′
🔁 R. Muhren
↦ B. Kuwas
1–0 P. Reulen
R. Paula
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

NAC Breda

4-4-2
99 D. Bielica G
25 C. Valerius D
3 D. Odoi D
8 C. Leemans D
4 B. Kemper D
7 C. Brym M
16 M. Balard M
90 L. Holtby M
14 K. Sowah M
24 A. Ayew F
19 A. Salama F
Bench (10)
1 R. Kortsmit
31 K. Lamprou
2 B. Lucassen
10 M. Nassoh
11 R. Paula
15 E. Mahmutovic
21 J. Candelaria
26 P. Reulen
32 J. Talvitie
55 B. Ghalidi

Coach: Carl Hoefkens

Volendam

4-3-3
1 K. van Oevelen G
5 P. Ugwu D
3 M. Amevor D
20 N. Verschuren D
32 Y. Leliendal D
40 R. van Cruijsen
23 D. Kwakman M
7 O. Kokcu M
77 B. Ould-Chikh F
10 B. Kuwas F
29 B. Pauwels F
Bench (12)
16 R. Steur
30 A. Kabba
2 D. Payne
4 J. Bacuna
6 A. Plat
11 A. Oehlers
14 A. Meijers
17 J. Ideho
18 N. Bukala
21 R. Muhren
25 L. Blondeau
27 M. Mau-Asam

Coach: Rick Kruys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,54
U
4,12
B
5,57
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.