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Svenska Cupen

Ostersunds FK

S T U U U

3–0

Full-time

Trelleborg

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ostersunds FK Trelleborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,2

3,2

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

0,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

0,7

4,0

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

0,3

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Ostersunds FK 43. · Trelleborg 59. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sirius	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Hammarby	4	4	0	0	+14	12
3	GAIS	4	4	0	0	+10	12
4	Mjallby	4	4	0	0	+7	12
5	Hacken	3	3	0	0	+12	9
6	Djurgarden	4	3	0	1	+11	9
7	Brommapojkarna	4	3	0	1	+6	9
8	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+6	9
9	Elfsborg	4	3	0	1	+5	9
10	Halmstad	3	3	0	0	+5	9
11	Norrkoping	4	3	0	1	+3	9
12	Falkenbergs FF	4	3	0	1	+2	9
13	Goteborg	3	2	1	0	+8	7
14	Kalmar	4	2	1	1	+4	7
15	Degerfors	3	2	1	0	+4	7
16	Oster	4	2	1	1	+0	7
17	AIK	3	2	0	1	+8	6
18	IF Karlstad	4	2	0	2	+0	6
19	Vasteras SK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
20	Landskrona	4	2	0	2	-2	6
21	IK brage	4	2	0	2	-3	6
22	IFK Skövde	5	2	0	3	-8	6
23	Orgryte	4	1	2	1	-2	5
24	Täby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Varnamo	4	1	1	2	+0	4
26	Orebro SK	4	1	1	2	-1	4
27	Sundsvall	4	1	1	2	-5	4
28	Helsingborg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
29	Karlberg	2	1	0	1	+4	3
30	Oddevold	3	1	0	2	+2	3
31	Lund	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Olympic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Onsala	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Enköping	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Eskilsminne	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Assyriska FF	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Zenith	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Haninge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Sölvesborg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Öckerö	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Ostersunds FK	3	0	3	0	+0	3
44	Lödde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Syrianska FC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Myresjö / Vetlanda	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Varberg	3	1	0	2	-1	3
49	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Torstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Viggbyholms IK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Korsnäs	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Sandviken	4	1	0	3	-3	3
54	Räppe	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	Sylvia	2	1	0	1	-3	3
56	Qviding FIF	2	1	0	1	-3	3
57	Nässjö	2	1	0	1	-5	3
58	FBK Karlstad	2	1	0	1	-5	3
59	Trelleborg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
60	Friska Viljor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Högaborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Torslanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Vänersborgs FK	2	0	1	1	-1	1
64	Centern	2	0	1	1	-2	1
65	Hudiksvall	2	0	1	1	-7	1
66	Rosengård	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Utsikten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Gute	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Gimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Ursvik	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Hjulsbro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Farsta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Stenungsund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Kristianstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Karlslund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Berga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Arameiska / Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Västboås	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Dvärsätt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Jönköping Torpa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Eslov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	IFK Tidaholm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Franke	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Viken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Oster	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Täby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	+3	3
11	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Onsala	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Enköping	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	IK brage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Assyriska FF	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Öckerö	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Lödde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
25	Torstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
26	Viggbyholms IK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
27	Korsnäs	2	1	0	1	-2	3
28	Räppe	2	1	0	1	-3	3
29	Sylvia	2	1	0	1	-3	3
30	IF Karlstad	3	1	0	2	-4	3
31	IFK Skövde	3	1	0	2	-10	3
32	Kalmar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Helsingborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Goteborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Varnamo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
36	Vänersborgs FK	2	0	1	1	-1	1
37	Centern	2	0	1	1	-2	1
38	Hudiksvall	2	0	1	1	-7	1
39	Lund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Gimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Ursvik	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Farsta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Stenungsund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Kubikenborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Karlslund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Orebro SK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Berga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	AIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Sölvesborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Syrianska FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Västboås	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Dvärsätt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Myresjö / Vetlanda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Jönköping Torpa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Eslov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	IFK Tidaholm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Trelleborg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Viken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Qviding FIF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
74	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
75	Nässjö	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	AIK	2	2	0	0	+10	6
3	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Brommapojkarna	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	Elfsborg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	Falkenbergs FF	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Vasteras SK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
15	Orgryte	3	1	2	0	+1	5
16	Orebro SK	3	1	1	1	+1	4
17	Sundsvall	3	1	1	1	-4	4
18	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+8	3
19	Oddevold	2	1	0	1	+5	3
20	Karlberg	1	1	0	0	+5	3
21	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Kubikenborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Lund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Nässjö	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	IFK Skövde	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Sölvesborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Eskilsminne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Myresjö / Vetlanda	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Varnamo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Zenith	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Haninge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Syrianska FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Qviding FIF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	FBK Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Ostersunds FK	3	0	3	0	+0	3
39	Norrkoping	2	1	0	1	-1	3
40	Varberg	3	1	0	2	-1	3
41	Sandviken	3	1	0	2	-2	3
42	Trelleborg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	Oster	2	1	0	1	-3	3
44	Landskrona	3	1	0	2	-3	3
45	IK brage	3	1	0	2	-4	3
46	Helsingborg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
47	Friska Viljor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Högaborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Torslanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Rosengård	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Utsikten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Gute	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Hjulsbro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Kristianstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Arameiska / Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Franke	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.