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Super League

Referee: J Sanchez

Olympiakos

U T S U S

0–0

Full-time

PAOK

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,3

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 68%

68%

Points per game

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

40%

56%

Both score Ø 38%

36%

40%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

0,5

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,27 xG 0,88

60% Possession 40%

19 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympiakos 3. · PAOK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	26	18	6	2	+30	+7.8	60
2	PAOK	25	17	6	2	+35	+7.4	57
3	Olympiakos	25	17	6	2	+32	+6.4	57
4	Panathinaikos	26	14	7	5	+19	+5.4	49
5	Levadeiakos	26	11	8	7	+16	-5.9	41
6	OFI Crete	25	10	2	13	-7	-5.0	32
7	Atromitos	26	7	8	11	-4	-1.1	29
8	Aris Thessalonikis	24	6	11	7	-5	-1.6	29
9	Aris	24	6	11	7	-5	–	29
10	Volos NFC	26	8	5	13	-13	+2.7	29
11	Kifisia	25	5	10	10	-9	-1.7	25
12	Panetolikos	25	7	3	15	-14	-2.3	24
13	Larisa	26	5	9	12	-17	-3.6	24
14	Asteras Tripolis	26	3	8	15	-19	-2.8	17
15	Panserraikos	25	4	4	17	-39	-5.7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	13	11	2	0	+23	+2.8	35
2	AEK	13	11	1	1	+18	+4.8	34
3	Olympiakos	12	10	1	1	+20	+2.2	31
4	Panathinaikos	13	9	3	1	+17	+2.6	30
5	Levadeiakos	13	7	3	3	+16	-4.0	24
6	OFI Crete	13	7	0	6	+9	-1.0	21
7	Volos NFC	13	4	5	4	-4	+2.9	17
8	Aris Thessalonikis	12	2	9	1	+1	+1.7	15
9	Aris	12	2	9	1	+1	–	15
10	Larisa	13	3	5	5	-8	-0.5	14
11	Kifisia	13	3	4	6	-4	-0.7	13
12	Asteras Tripolis	13	2	5	6	-3	-0.2	11
13	Atromitos	13	2	4	7	-5	+0.6	10
14	Panserraikos	12	3	1	8	-16	-5.2	10
15	Panetolikos	12	3	0	9	-10	+0.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	13	7	5	1	+12	+3.1	26
2	Olympiakos	13	7	5	1	+12	+4.2	26
3	PAOK	12	6	4	2	+12	+4.6	22
4	Panathinaikos	13	5	4	4	+2	+2.8	19
5	Atromitos	13	5	4	4	+1	-1.7	19
6	Levadeiakos	13	4	5	4	+0	-1.9	17
7	Panetolikos	13	4	3	6	-4	-2.6	15
8	Aris Thessalonikis	12	4	2	6	-6	-3.3	14
9	Aris	12	4	2	6	-6	–	14
10	Kifisia	12	2	6	4	-5	-1.0	12
11	Volos NFC	13	4	0	9	-9	-0.3	12
12	OFI Crete	12	3	2	7	-16	-4.0	11
13	Larisa	13	2	4	7	-9	-3.1	10
14	Asteras Tripolis	13	1	3	9	-16	-2.6	6
15	Panserraikos	13	1	3	9	-23	-0.5	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.