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Super League

Referee: S Scharer

Young Boys

T S T S S

1–2

Full-time

Thun

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Thun

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

2,3

2,7

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 59%

43%

75%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

79%

Both score Ø 70%

68%

71%

Average goals

3,9

3,4

Scored

2,0

2,3

Conceded

1,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,58 xG 2,30

53% Possession 47%

15 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Young Boys 6. · Thun 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	28	21	2	5	+33	+5.3	65
2	St. Gallen	29	16	6	7	+23	+9.2	54
3	Lugano	29	14	7	8	+10	-4.5	49
4	Basel	29	13	7	9	+4	+12.9	46
5	Sion	29	10	12	7	+8	+9.1	42
6	Young Boys	28	12	6	10	+4	-0.8	42
7	Luzern	29	9	9	11	+3	-0.3	36
8	Lausanne	28	8	9	11	-3	+5.3	33
9	Servette	29	7	12	10	-6	+1.9	33
10	Zurich	29	9	4	16	-16	-4.4	31
11	Grasshoppers	28	5	9	14	-13	-13.2	24
12	Winterthur	29	3	7	19	-47	-20.5	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	15	10	2	3	+16	+3.2	32
2	Lugano	15	9	3	3	+11	-1.0	30
3	St. Gallen	15	9	1	5	+12	+12.0	28
4	Young Boys	13	8	2	3	+17	+11.1	26
5	Sion	15	7	5	3	+10	+4.9	26
6	Basel	14	6	5	3	+8	+18.2	23
7	Lausanne	14	4	5	5	+2	+9.4	17
8	Servette	15	3	7	5	-4	-0.6	16
9	Zurich	14	5	1	8	-5	+1.9	16
10	Luzern	14	3	5	6	+0	+2.5	14
11	Grasshoppers	14	3	5	6	-1	-4.3	14
12	Winterthur	14	2	4	8	-14	-4.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	13	11	0	2	+17	+2.1	33
2	St. Gallen	14	7	5	2	+11	-2.8	26
3	Basel	15	7	2	6	-4	-5.3	23
4	Luzern	15	6	4	5	+3	-2.8	22
5	Lugano	14	5	4	5	-1	-3.5	19
6	Servette	14	4	5	5	-2	+2.6	17
7	Sion	14	3	7	4	-2	+4.2	16
8	Lausanne	14	4	4	6	-5	-4.1	16
9	Young Boys	15	4	4	7	-13	-11.9	16
10	Zurich	15	4	3	8	-11	-6.3	15
11	Grasshoppers	14	2	4	8	-12	-8.9	10
12	Winterthur	15	1	3	11	-33	-16.5	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.