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NM-cupen
Referee: C Moen
2–3
Full-time
Brann
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromsdalen Uil Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
5,8
2,8
Scored
4,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+3,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — NM-cupen · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
7,3
6,0
Scored
6,3
5,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+5,3
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Tromsdalen Uil 2. · Brann 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 4 4 0 0 +7 12
2 Tromsdalen Uil 3 3 0 0 +16 9
3 Aalesund 3 3 0 0 +6 9
4 Bjarg 4 3 0 1 +5 9
5 Egersund 3 3 0 0 +3 9
6 Kjelsås 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Kongsvinger 3 2 0 1 +6 6
8 Viking 2 2 0 0 +5 6
9 Levanger 3 2 0 1 +4 6
10 Sandnes ULF 3 2 0 1 +4 6
11 Lysekloster 3 2 0 1 +4 6
12 Mjondalen 3 2 0 1 +3 6
13 Stabaek 3 2 0 1 +3 6
14 Lyn 3 2 0 1 +3 6
15 Bodo/Glimt 2 2 0 0 +3 6
16 KFUM Oslo 2 2 0 0 +3 6
17 Eik-Tønsberg 3 2 0 1 +2 6
18 hodd 2 1 1 0 +2 4
19 Strommen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
20 Brattvåg 3 1 1 1 +1 4
21 Odd 3 1 1 1 +0 4
22 Brann 1 1 0 0 +4 3
23 Rosenborg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 Follo 2 1 0 1 +2 3
25 Ham-Kam 2 1 0 1 +2 3
26 Hønefoss 2 1 0 1 +2 3
27 Vard 2 1 0 1 +2 3
28 Fredrikstad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Bryne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Arendal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Stjørdals-Blink 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Asker 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Tromso 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 Start 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 Moss 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Trygg/Lade 2 1 0 1 -1 3
37 Ulfstind 2 1 0 1 -2 3
38 Junkeren 2 1 0 1 -2 3
39 Gamle Oslo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
40 Asane 2 1 0 1 -2 3
41 Sarpsborg 08 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Stromsgodset 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Sotra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Molde 2 0 1 1 -1 1
45 Djerv 2 0 1 1 -4 1
46 Alta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Jerv 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Strindheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Gneist 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Kristiansund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Valerenga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Ranheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Flekkerøy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Eidsvold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Madla 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Flint 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Grorud 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Rana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Pors Grenland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Nordstrand 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Ull/Kisa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Sogndal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Førde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Haugesund 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Træff 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Lørenskog 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Vidar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Skeid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 Raufoss 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Sandviken 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Vigør 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Notodden 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 Brumunddal 1 0 0 1 -4 0
76 Vestfossen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
77 Sandefjord 1 0 0 1 -5 0
78 Bærum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
79 Nardo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
80 Finnsnes 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromsdalen Uil Brann
22′
F. Myhre 0–1
27′
🟨 N. Holm
S. Laugsand 🟨
31′
32′
🟨 V. Dragsnes
Half-time 0–1
M. Mehl 🔁
↦ E. Skogvoll
46′
52′
🟨 T. Pedersen
1–1 T. Hafstad
K. Swaleh
53′
59′
J. D. Thorsteinsson 1–2
S. Halvorsen 🔁
↦ T. Rekdal
64′
M. Badsvik 🔁
↦ E. Ness
64′
67′
🔁 M. Haaland
↦ J. D. Thorsteinsson
67′
🔁 J. Eikrem
↦ T. Pedersen
O. Kristoffersen 🔁
↦ P. Johansen
72′
76′
🔁 U. Mathisen
↦ B. Finne
I. Adolfsen 🔁
↦ K. Swaleh
79′
2–2 S. Halvorsen
S. Laugsand
89′
S. Halvorsen 🟨
91′
91′
🔁 M. Hellan
↦ V. Dragsnes
91′
🔁 N. Boakye
↦ R. Holten
93′
🟨 J. Eikrem
A. Svendsen 🔁
↦ D. Hafstad
96′
111′
🔁 J. Laegreid
↦ N. Holm
114′
J. Sorensen 2–3
D. De Roeve
A. Eliassen 🟨
115′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Tromsdalen Uil

92 M. Tollefsen
5 T. Hafstad
4 S. Laugsand
14 M. Lysakerrud
8 E. Skogvoll
7 K. Swaleh
32 P. Johansen
22 A. Eliassen
13 T. Rekdal
16 D. Hafstad
10 E. Ness
Bench (9)
12 T. Kristiansen
6 J. Elvebu
9 S. Halvorsen
11 M. Badsvik
17 M. Mehl
18 O. H. Jacobsen
19 I. Adolfsen
28 A. Svendsen
31 O. Kristoffersen

Coach: Alexander Samuelsen

Brann

1 M. Dyngeland
21 D. De Roeve
3 F. Knudsen
43 R. Holten
20 V. Dragsnes
23 T. Pedersen
18 J. Sorensen
8 F. Myhre
11 B. Finne
29 N. Holm
7 J. D. Thorsteinsson
Bench (9)
12 S. Nilsen
2 M. Hellan
4 N. Boakye
14 U. Mathisen
27 M. Sande
32 M. Haaland
39 J. Laegreid
40 J. Eikrem
41 L. Remmem

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Moen · 78 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.