Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bologna
Verona
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | +43 | +34.4 | 67 |
| 2 |
Milan
|
27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | +23 | +16.8 | 57 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | +14 | +9.1 | 56 |
| 4 |
Como
|
28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | +25 | +19.8 | 51 |
| 5 |
Roma
|
27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | +18 | +10.6 | 51 |
| 6 |
Juventus
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +22 | +25.1 | 50 |
| 7 |
Atalanta
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | +13 | +11.9 | 46 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | +4 | +0.5 | 39 |
| 9 |
Sassuolo
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | -2 | -9.3 | 38 |
| 10 |
Udinese
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -8 | -7.5 | 36 |
| 11 |
Lazio
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -1 | -7.9 | 34 |
| 12 |
Parma
|
27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | -12 | -14.6 | 33 |
| 13 |
Cagliari
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -8 | -13.6 | 30 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | -21 | -10.7 | 30 |
| 15 |
Genoa
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -7 | -2.1 | 27 |
| 16 |
Lecce
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -17 | -19.9 | 27 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -12 | +4.4 | 24 |
| 18 |
Cremonese
|
28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -18 | -19.4 | 24 |
| 19 |
Verona
|
27 | 2 | 9 | 16 | -28 | -9.5 | 15 |
| 20 |
Pisa
|
28 | 1 | 12 | 15 | -28 | -17.9 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Skorupski
G
N. Zortea
D
M. Vitik
D
J. Lucumi
D
Joao Mario
D
L. Ferguson
M
R. Orsolini
M
N. Moro
M
J. Odgaard
M
J. Rowe
M
S. Castro
F
Coach: Vincenzo Italiano
L. Montipo
G
D. Oyegoke
D
V. Nelsson
D
A. Edmundsson
D
D. Bradaric
D
R. Gagliardini
M
A. Harroui
M
K. Bowie
F
G. Orban
F
Coach: Paolo Sammarco
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Pisa
Bologna
Bologna
Brann
Bologna
Udinese
Brann
Bologna
Torino
Bologna
G Mucera · 13 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.