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Champions League
Referee: R Petrescu
Man City
T T T T T
3–3
Full-time
Feyenoord
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
75%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
3,5
4,3
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,21 xG 2,16
64% Possession 36%
18 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Man City Feyenoord
1–0 E. Haaland ⚽
44′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 İ. Gündoğan ⚽
50′
3–0 E. Haaland ⚽
Matheus Nunes
53′
57′
🟨 Julián Carranza
K. De Bruyne 🔁
↦ İ. Gündoğan
68′
68′
🔁 R. Zerrouki
↦ A. Milambo
68′
🔁 T. Beelen
↦ G. Smal
J. McAtee 🔁
↦ P. Foden
69′
J. Simpson-Pusey 🔁
↦ N. Aké
69′
72′
🔁 S. Giménez
↦ J. Carranza
72′
🔁 J. Lotomba
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
74′
⚽ A. Hadj Moussa 3–1
82′
⚽ S. Giménez 3–2
James McAtee 🟨
88′
89′
⚽ D. Hancko 3–3
Igor Paixão
93′
🔁 F. González
↦ Hwang In-Beom
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Man City

4-2-3-1
31 Ederson G
82 R. Lewis D
25 M. Akanji D
6 N. Aké D
24 J. Gvardiol D
27 Matheus Nunes M
19 İ. Gündoğan M
20 Bernardo Silva M
47 P. Foden M
10 J. Grealish M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (11)
17 K. De Bruyne
87 J. McAtee
66 J. Simpson-Pusey
97 J. Wilson-Esbrand
75 N. O'Reilly
3 Rúben Dias
2 K. Walker
56 J. Wright
33 S. Carson
18 S. Ortega
26 Savinho

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Feyenoord

4-3-3
22 T. Wellenreuther G
2 B. Nieuwkoop D
18 G. Trauner D
33 D. Hancko D
5 G. Smal D
27 A. Milambo M
4 Hwang In-Beom M
8 Q. Timber M
23 A. Hadj Moussa F
19 J. Carranza F
14 Igor Paixão F
Bench (11)
6 R. Zerrouki
3 T. Beelen
29 S. Giménez
30 J. Lotomba
15 F. González
20 J. Mitchell
24 G. Zechiël
49 Z. Redmond
1 J. Bijlow
17 L. Ivanušec
64 I. Ka

Coach: B. Priske

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Petrescu · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.