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Eredivisie
Referee: E Blank
0–3
Full-time
Utrecht
T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
11%
44%
Points per game
0,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
37%
67%
Both score Ø 55%
53%
56%
Average goals
2,3
3,1
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 16. · Utrecht 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 20 15 3 2 +56 48
2 PSV Eindhoven 20 15 1 4 +22 46
3 Feyenoord 20 13 3 4 +27 42
4 Twente 20 11 5 4 +9 38
5 AZ Alkmaar 18 10 2 6 +11 32
6 Vitesse 18 10 2 6 -2 32
7 Cambuur 20 9 3 8 -7 30
8 Utrecht 18 8 5 5 +8 29
9 Nijmegen 20 7 5 8 -5 26
10 Heerenveen 19 7 4 8 -6 25
11 Groningen 20 5 7 8 -6 22
12 Go Ahead Eagles 20 6 4 10 -12 22
13 Heracles 20 5 5 10 -5 20
14 Waalwijk 19 4 7 8 -9 19
15 Willem II 20 5 3 12 -21 18
16 Sparta Rotterdam 19 2 8 9 -12 14
17 For Sittard 19 3 4 12 -28 13
18 Zwolle 20 3 3 14 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Utrecht
12′
A. Douvikas 0–1
S. van de Streek
Adrian Dalmau 🟨
28′
41′
🟨 Quinten Timber
Half-time 0–2
47′
M. Mahi 0–2
O. Boussaid
48′
🟨 Mike Van der Hoorn
M. Pinto 🔁
↦ A. Meijers
63′
B. Smeets 🔁
↦ S. Mijnans
64′
72′
🔁 J. van Overeem
↦ Q. Timber
72′
🔁 M. Sylla
↦ A. Douvikas
75′
T. Coremans 1–2
own goal
A. Auassar 🔁
↦ J. de Kamps
81′
M. Engels 🔁
↦ Y. Namli
81′
81′
🔁 B. Ramselaar
↦ O. Boussaid
89′
🔁 R. Balk
↦ M. Mahi
A. Madi 🔁
↦ T. Beugelsdijk
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

3-5-2
1 T. Coremans G
5 A. Meijers M
3 B. Vriends D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
2 D. Abels D
6 J. de Kamps M
7 Y. Namli M
8 S. Mijnans M
10 L. Thy F
9 Adrián Dalmau F
11 V. van Crooij M
Bench (10)
15 M. Pinto
16 B. Smeets
18 A. Auassar
17 M. Engels
13 A. Madi
14 M. Heylen
20 R. Janse
19 E. Emegha
30 F. Murre
12 L. Jans

Coach: H. Fraser

Utrecht

4-3-3
16 F. de Keijzer G
2 M. van der Maarel D
33 M. van der Hoorn D
21 D. Warmerdam D
5 H. ter Avest D
6 A. Maher M
22 S. van de Streek F
27 Q. Timber M
26 O. Boussaid M
11 M. Mahi F
9 A. Douvikas F
Bench (10)
8 J. van Overeem
29 M. Sylla
23 B. Ramselaar
30 R. Balk
10 S. Gustafson
61 K. Gadellaa
20 A. Zagre
46 R. Meissen
14 W. Janssen
32 E. Oelschlägel

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,51
U
3,43
B ✓
2,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Blank · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.