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KNVB Beker
Referee: W Wiersma
1–3
Full-time
Willem II
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SJC Noordwijk Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RKAV Volendam 3 3 0 0 +10 9
2 DEM 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Hercules 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Groene Ster 3 2 0 1 +6 6
5 De Treffers 2 2 0 0 +6 6
6 GVVV Veenendaal 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Sparta Nijkerk 3 2 0 1 +3 6
8 Spakenburg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Hoogeveen 3 2 0 1 +2 6
10 Quick Boys 2 2 0 0 +2 6
11 Eemdijk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
12 Ijsselmeervogels 3 2 0 1 +1 6
13 OJC Rosmalen 3 2 0 1 -1 6
14 UNA 3 2 0 1 -1 6
15 Gemert 2 1 1 0 +2 4
16 RKSV Nuenen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
18 SJC Noordwijk 2 1 1 0 +1 4
19 TEC 3 1 1 1 -3 4
20 Almere City 1 1 0 0 +7 3
21 Katwijk 1 1 0 0 +5 3
22 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +4 3
23 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
24 VV Scherpenzeel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
25 Blauw Geel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
26 Cambuur 1 1 0 0 +3 3
27 Go Ahead Eagles 1 1 0 0 +3 3
28 GVV Unitas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
29 Dordrecht 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 De Graafschap 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Sparta Rotterdam 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 HHC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Excelsior 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Vitesse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Den Haag 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 AFC Amsterdam 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Harkemase Boys 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Hoek 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Koninklijke HFC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Westlandia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 HVCH 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 FC Lisse 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Csv Apeldoorn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Olde Veste '54 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Barendrecht 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Staphorst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Rijnvogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Dovo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Vvsb 2 0 1 1 -1 1
58 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Den Bosch 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 SC Genemuiden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Berkum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Bon Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 AWC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 AGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Veensche Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 URK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Telstar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 XerxesDZB (Zat) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 HSV ODIN 59 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Jubbega 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Chevremont 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 HV & CV Quick 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Heracles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Nieuwkoop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Purmersteijn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 MVV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Avanti '31 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 VVV Venlo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 ACV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 SVOD '22 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Zwaluw VFC 1 0 0 1 -4 0
96 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -4 0
97 Bunde 1 0 0 1 -5 0
98 Groen Wit '62 1 0 0 1 -6 0
99 BOL 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.