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KNVB Beker

Referee: S Gözübüyük

Sparta Rotterdam

S S S S U

1–2

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

42% Possession 58%

6 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blauw Geel	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Hercules	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	URK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	NAC Breda	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	HV & CV Quick	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Sportlust '46	3	2	0	1	-1	6
12	Staphorst	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Hoek	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Kozakken Boys	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Dongen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
39	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
40	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
41	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	RKAV Volendam	2	0	1	1	-2	1
50	DEM	2	0	1	1	-3	1
51	Harkemase Boys	2	0	1	1	-4	1
52	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	URK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Kozakken Boys	2	0	1	1	-2	1
28	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	DEM	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Sportlust '46	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	HV & CV Quick	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Hoek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	URK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Excelsior '31	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
26	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Harkemase Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Staphorst	2	0	1	1	-2	1
32	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.