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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

Twente

S S S S U

1–0

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,2

Scored

3,2

2,2

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 58%

61%

55%

Points per game

2,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

55%

58%

Both score Ø 38%

33%

42%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

0,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

21 Shots 17

7 Shots on target 7

11 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 9

17 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Twente 4. · Sparta Rotterdam 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	34	25	7	2	+51	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	34	23	6	5	+49	75
3	Ajax	34	20	9	5	+48	69
4	Twente	33	20	8	5	+45	68
5	AZ Alkmaar	34	20	7	7	+33	67
6	Sparta Rotterdam	33	18	7	8	+28	61
7	Utrecht	34	14	9	11	+0	51
8	Heerenveen	34	11	9	14	-12	42
9	Waalwijk	34	11	8	15	-14	41
10	Vitesse	34	10	10	14	-5	40
11	Go Ahead Eagles	34	10	10	14	-10	40
12	Nijmegen	34	8	15	11	-3	39
13	For Sittard	34	10	6	18	-23	36
14	Volendam	34	10	6	18	-29	36
15	FC Emmen	37	8	10	19	-31	34
16	Excelsior	34	9	5	20	-39	32
17	Cambuur	34	5	4	25	-43	19
18	Groningen	34	4	6	24	-44	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	14	2	1	+40	44
2	Twente	16	14	2	0	+39	44
3	Feyenoord	17	12	4	1	+27	40
4	Ajax	17	10	5	2	+33	35
5	AZ Alkmaar	17	9	5	3	+16	32
6	Sparta Rotterdam	17	10	2	5	+16	32
7	Waalwijk	17	9	3	5	+8	30
8	Volendam	17	9	1	7	-3	28
9	Go Ahead Eagles	17	7	6	4	+5	27
10	Utrecht	17	7	5	5	+2	26
11	Excelsior	17	8	2	7	-4	26
12	Vitesse	17	5	6	6	-1	21
13	FC Emmen	18	4	9	5	-5	21
14	For Sittard	17	5	4	8	-7	19
15	Nijmegen	17	3	9	5	+0	18
16	Heerenveen	17	5	3	9	-7	18
17	Groningen	17	3	3	11	-14	12
18	Cambuur	17	3	0	14	-19	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	17	13	3	1	+24	42
2	AZ Alkmaar	17	11	2	4	+17	35
3	Ajax	17	10	4	3	+15	34
4	PSV Eindhoven	17	9	4	4	+9	31
5	Sparta Rotterdam	16	8	5	3	+12	29
6	Utrecht	17	7	4	6	-2	25
7	Twente	17	6	6	5	+6	24
8	Heerenveen	17	6	6	5	-5	24
9	Nijmegen	17	5	6	6	-3	21
10	Vitesse	17	5	4	8	-4	19
11	For Sittard	17	5	2	10	-16	17
12	Go Ahead Eagles	17	3	4	10	-15	13
13	FC Emmen	19	4	1	14	-26	13
14	Waalwijk	17	2	5	10	-22	11
15	Cambuur	17	2	4	11	-24	10
16	Volendam	17	1	5	11	-26	8
17	Groningen	17	1	3	13	-30	6
18	Excelsior	17	1	3	13	-35	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.