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Eredivisie

Referee: R Dieperink

Heerenveen

U S T T S

0–0

Full-time

Excelsior

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 29/31 matches

Win Ø 30%

34%

26%

Points per game

1,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

55%

Both score Ø 47%

52%

42%

Average goals

2,7

3,1

Scored

1,2

0,9

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

11 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 11. · Excelsior 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	31	23	7	1	+47	76
2	PSV Eindhoven	31	21	5	5	+47	68
3	Ajax	31	18	9	4	+47	63
4	AZ Alkmaar	31	18	7	6	+27	61
5	Twente	28	16	7	5	+33	55
6	Sparta Rotterdam	28	15	6	7	+20	51
7	Utrecht	29	11	9	9	-1	42
8	Waalwijk	31	11	8	12	-3	41
9	Nijmegen	32	8	14	10	+0	38
10	Go Ahead Eagles	31	9	10	12	-8	37
11	Heerenveen	29	10	7	12	-9	37
12	For Sittard	31	10	5	16	-19	35
13	Volendam	32	9	6	17	-27	33
14	Vitesse	31	7	10	14	-14	31
15	FC Emmen	31	6	10	15	-25	28
16	Excelsior	31	8	4	19	-41	28
17	Groningen	31	4	6	21	-32	18
18	Cambuur	31	4	4	23	-42	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	13	1	1	+39	40
2	Twente	14	12	2	0	+33	38
3	Feyenoord	15	11	4	0	+25	37
4	Ajax	16	9	5	2	+31	32
5	Waalwijk	16	9	3	4	+13	30
6	AZ Alkmaar	15	8	5	2	+13	29
7	Sparta Rotterdam	14	9	1	4	+14	28
8	Volendam	16	8	1	7	-4	25
9	Go Ahead Eagles	16	6	6	4	+2	24
10	Excelsior	16	7	2	7	-7	23
11	Utrecht	14	5	5	4	+0	20
12	Nijmegen	16	3	9	4	+3	18
13	FC Emmen	16	3	9	4	-5	18
14	For Sittard	16	5	3	8	-7	18
15	Vitesse	15	3	6	6	-9	15
16	Heerenveen	14	4	2	8	-8	14
17	Groningen	15	3	3	9	-8	12
18	Cambuur	16	2	0	14	-23	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	16	12	3	1	+22	39
2	AZ Alkmaar	16	10	2	4	+14	32
3	Ajax	15	9	4	2	+16	31
4	PSV Eindhoven	16	8	4	4	+8	28
5	Sparta Rotterdam	14	6	5	3	+6	23
6	Heerenveen	15	6	5	4	-1	23
7	Utrecht	15	6	4	5	-1	22
8	Nijmegen	16	5	5	6	-3	20
9	Twente	14	4	5	5	+0	17
10	For Sittard	15	5	2	8	-12	17
11	Vitesse	16	4	4	8	-5	16
12	Go Ahead Eagles	15	3	4	8	-10	13
13	Waalwijk	15	2	5	8	-16	11
14	Cambuur	15	2	4	9	-19	10
15	FC Emmen	15	3	1	11	-20	10
16	Volendam	16	1	5	10	-23	8
17	Groningen	16	1	3	12	-24	6
18	Excelsior	15	1	2	12	-34	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.