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Eredivisie

Referee: S Gözübüyük

Excelsior

S U T S U

0–2

Full-time

Feyenoord

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Feyenoord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 50%

27%

73%

Points per game

0,9

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

57%

60%

Both score Ø 53%

43%

63%

Average goals

3,1

3,4

Scored

0,9

2,4

Conceded

2,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%

9 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 16. · Feyenoord 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	30	22	7	1	+45	73
2	PSV Eindhoven	31	21	5	5	+47	68
3	Ajax	31	18	9	4	+47	63
4	AZ Alkmaar	31	18	7	6	+27	61
5	Twente	27	15	7	5	+29	52
6	Sparta Rotterdam	27	15	6	6	+21	51
7	Utrecht	29	11	9	9	-1	42
8	Waalwijk	31	11	8	12	-3	41
9	Nijmegen	31	8	14	9	+4	38
10	Heerenveen	29	10	7	12	-9	37
11	Go Ahead Eagles	30	9	9	12	-8	36
12	For Sittard	30	9	5	16	-21	32
13	Vitesse	30	7	10	13	-12	31
14	Volendam	31	8	6	17	-28	30
15	FC Emmen	31	6	10	15	-25	28
16	Excelsior	30	8	4	18	-39	28
17	Groningen	30	4	5	21	-32	17
18	Cambuur	31	4	4	23	-42	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	13	1	1	+39	40
2	Feyenoord	15	11	4	0	+25	37
3	Twente	13	11	2	0	+29	35
4	Ajax	16	9	5	2	+31	32
5	Waalwijk	16	9	3	4	+13	30
6	AZ Alkmaar	15	8	5	2	+13	29
7	Sparta Rotterdam	14	9	1	4	+14	28
8	Go Ahead Eagles	15	6	5	4	+2	23
9	Excelsior	15	7	2	6	-5	23
10	Volendam	15	7	1	7	-5	22
11	Utrecht	14	5	5	4	+0	20
12	Nijmegen	16	3	9	4	+3	18
13	FC Emmen	16	3	9	4	-5	18
14	For Sittard	15	4	3	8	-9	15
15	Vitesse	15	3	6	6	-9	15
16	Heerenveen	14	4	2	8	-8	14
17	Groningen	15	3	3	9	-8	12
18	Cambuur	16	2	0	14	-23	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	15	11	3	1	+20	36
2	AZ Alkmaar	16	10	2	4	+14	32
3	Ajax	15	9	4	2	+16	31
4	PSV Eindhoven	16	8	4	4	+8	28
5	Sparta Rotterdam	13	6	5	2	+7	23
6	Heerenveen	15	6	5	4	-1	23
7	Utrecht	15	6	4	5	-1	22
8	Nijmegen	15	5	5	5	+1	20
9	Twente	14	4	5	5	+0	17
10	For Sittard	15	5	2	8	-12	17
11	Vitesse	15	4	4	7	-3	16
12	Go Ahead Eagles	15	3	4	8	-10	13
13	Waalwijk	15	2	5	8	-16	11
14	Cambuur	15	2	4	9	-19	10
15	FC Emmen	15	3	1	11	-20	10
16	Volendam	16	1	5	10	-23	8
17	Groningen	15	1	2	12	-24	5
18	Excelsior	15	1	2	12	-34	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.