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Ligue 2

Referee: P Legat

Caen

T S S T T

4–2

Full-time

Nimes

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Nimes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 34%

41%

26%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

50%

47%

Both score Ø 55%

59%

50%

Average goals

2,4

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

16 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 6

12 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 6. · Nimes 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	34	19	14	1	+29	71
2	Bordeaux	35	19	9	7	+22	66
3	Metz	34	17	11	6	+25	62
4	Bastia	34	15	8	11	+3	53
5	Sochaux	34	15	7	12	+18	52
6	Caen	34	14	10	10	+6	52
7	Grenoble	34	14	8	12	+1	50
8	St Etienne	34	13	10	11	+3	49
9	Quevilly Rouen	35	12	13	10	+2	49
10	Paris FC	34	13	8	13	+0	47
11	Guingamp	34	12	9	13	+0	45
12	Amiens	34	12	8	14	-8	44
13	Rodez	34	10	11	13	-5	41
14	Pau FC	34	10	10	14	-10	40
15	Valenciennes	34	8	14	12	-8	38
16	Annecy	34	9	11	14	-13	38
17	Laval	34	11	4	19	-13	37
18	Dijon	34	8	11	15	-8	35
19	Nimes	34	9	6	19	-15	33
20	Niort	34	7	6	21	-29	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bordeaux	17	11	4	2	+16	37
2	Le Havre	17	10	7	0	+15	37
3	Caen	17	10	5	2	+14	35
4	Bastia	17	10	3	4	+10	33
5	Sochaux	17	9	4	4	+15	31
6	Metz	17	8	7	2	+11	31
7	Grenoble	17	9	4	4	+5	31
8	St Etienne	17	8	4	5	+3	28
9	Quevilly Rouen	18	6	9	3	+6	27
10	Amiens	17	8	3	6	+1	27
11	Nimes	17	8	2	7	+3	26
12	Valenciennes	17	5	10	2	+3	25
13	Annecy	17	7	4	6	-2	25
14	Dijon	17	6	6	5	+1	24
15	Laval	17	7	2	8	+0	23
16	Guingamp	17	6	3	8	+0	21
17	Paris FC	17	6	3	8	+0	21
18	Pau FC	17	5	6	6	-4	21
19	Rodez	17	4	6	7	-8	18
20	Niort	17	5	2	10	-12	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	17	9	7	1	+14	34
2	Metz	17	9	4	4	+14	31
3	Bordeaux	18	8	5	5	+6	29
4	Paris FC	17	7	5	5	+0	26
5	Guingamp	17	6	6	5	+0	24
6	Rodez	17	6	5	6	+3	23
7	Quevilly Rouen	17	6	4	7	-4	22
8	Sochaux	17	6	3	8	+3	21
9	St Etienne	17	5	6	6	+0	21
10	Bastia	17	5	5	7	-7	20
11	Grenoble	17	5	4	8	-4	19
12	Pau FC	17	5	4	8	-6	19
13	Caen	17	4	5	8	-8	17
14	Amiens	17	4	5	8	-9	17
15	Laval	17	4	2	11	-13	14
16	Annecy	17	2	7	8	-11	13
17	Valenciennes	17	3	4	10	-11	13
18	Dijon	17	2	5	10	-9	11
19	Niort	17	2	4	11	-17	10
20	Nimes	17	1	4	12	-18	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.