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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
Sochaux
S T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Guingamp
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sochaux Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 40%
44%
35%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
59%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
9 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sochaux 5. · Guingamp 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 34 19 14 1 +29 71
2 Bordeaux 35 19 9 7 +22 66
3 Metz 34 17 11 6 +25 62
4 Bastia 34 15 8 11 +3 53
5 Sochaux 34 15 7 12 +18 52
6 Caen 34 14 10 10 +6 52
7 Grenoble 34 14 8 12 +1 50
8 St Etienne 34 13 10 11 +3 49
9 Quevilly Rouen 35 12 13 10 +2 49
10 Paris FC 34 13 8 13 +0 47
11 Guingamp 34 12 9 13 +0 45
12 Amiens 34 12 8 14 -8 44
13 Rodez 34 10 11 13 -5 41
14 Pau FC 34 10 10 14 -10 40
15 Valenciennes 34 8 14 12 -8 38
16 Annecy 34 9 11 14 -13 38
17 Laval 34 11 4 19 -13 37
18 Dijon 34 8 11 15 -8 35
19 Nimes 34 9 6 19 -15 33
20 Niort 34 7 6 21 -29 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sochaux Guingamp
Rassoul Ndiaye 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–1
61′
B. Guillaume 0–1
J. Gaudin
M. Doumbia 🔁
↦ G. Weissbeck
62′
I. Sissoko 🔁
↦ Eliezer Mayenda
63′
73′
🔁 H. Picard
↦ B. Guillaume
77′
🟨 Maxime Sivis
J. Dossou 🔁
↦ M. Do Couto
77′
V. Henry 🔁
↦ Y. Armougom
77′
R. Pereira De Sa 🔁
↦ R. Ndiaye
82′
87′
🔁 T. Luvambo
↦ A. El Ouazzani
88′
🔁 V. Manceau
↦ J. Gaudin
90′
🟨 Hugo Picard
94′
🔁 W. Tchimbembé
↦ T. Muyumba
94′
🔁 M. Barthelmé
↦ J. Livolant
Christ Makosso 🟨
97′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sochaux

4-2-3-1
16 M. Prévot G
33 N. Galves D
34 C. Makosso D
5 S. Agouzoul D
18 Y. Armougom D
14 R. Ndiaye M
80 S. Alvero M
15 A. Kalulu M
10 G. Weissbeck M
11 M. Do Couto M
21 Eliezer Mayenda F
Bench (6)
70 M. Doumbia
9 I. Sissoko
24 J. Dossou
29 V. Henry
6 R. Pereira De Sa
30 M. Jeannin

Coach: O. Guégan

Guingamp

4-2-3-1
16 E. Basilio G
27 M. Sivis D
26 M. Riou D
22 L. Mbe Soh D
25 J. Gaudin D
6 T. Muyumba M
4 D. Louiserre M
9 A. El Ouazzani M
18 G. Courtet M
29 J. Livolant M
21 B. Guillaume F
Bench (7)
20 H. Picard
23 T. Luvambo
15 V. Manceau
12 W. Tchimbembé
28 M. Barthelmé
19 F. Eboa Eboa
30 D. Youfeigane

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,96
U
3,41
B ✓
3,79
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.