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Championship

Referee: T Robinson

Sunderland

S U S U S

2–1

Full-time

Luton

S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Luton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

This season — Championship · 44/43 matches

Win Ø 45%

41%

49%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

57%

33%

Both score Ø 51%

59%

42%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%

11 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 2

7 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sunderland 7. · Luton 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	46	29	14	3	+52	101
2	Sheffield United	46	28	7	11	+34	91
3	Luton	43	21	14	8	+18	77
4	Middlesbrough	44	22	8	14	+29	74
5	Blackburn	46	20	9	17	-2	69
6	Millwall	46	19	11	16	+7	68
7	Sunderland	44	18	13	13	+13	67
8	West Brom	46	18	12	16	+6	66
9	Swansea	46	18	12	16	+4	66
10	Coventry	43	17	14	12	+11	65
11	Watford	46	16	15	15	+3	63
12	Preston	46	17	12	17	-14	63
13	Norwich	46	17	11	18	+3	62
14	Bristol City	46	15	14	17	-1	59
15	Hull	46	14	16	16	-10	58
16	Stoke	46	14	11	21	+1	53
17	Birmingham	46	14	11	21	-11	53
18	Huddersfield	46	14	11	21	-15	53
19	Rotherham	46	11	17	18	-11	50
20	Reading	46	13	11	22	-22	50
21	QPR	46	13	11	22	-27	50
22	Cardiff	46	13	10	23	-17	49
23	Wigan	46	10	15	21	-27	45
24	Blackpool	46	11	11	24	-24	44

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	23	16	6	1	+34	54
2	Sheffield United	23	16	3	4	+28	51
3	Middlesbrough	22	13	6	3	+27	45
4	Blackburn	23	13	4	6	+8	43
5	West Brom	23	11	7	5	+11	40
6	Watford	23	11	6	6	+12	39
7	Millwall	23	11	6	6	+12	39
8	Luton	22	10	8	4	+10	38
9	Reading	23	10	8	5	+7	38
10	Swansea	23	11	4	8	+6	37
11	Coventry	21	10	6	5	+5	36
12	Bristol City	23	9	7	7	+6	34
13	Rotherham	23	9	6	8	+7	33
14	Huddersfield	23	9	6	8	+1	33
15	Hull	23	9	6	8	-3	33
16	Sunderland	22	7	8	7	+0	29
17	Norwich	23	8	5	10	+0	29
18	Preston	23	7	7	9	-8	28
19	Birmingham	23	7	6	10	+0	27
20	Cardiff	23	6	7	10	-4	25
21	Blackpool	23	6	6	11	-6	24
22	Stoke	23	6	5	12	-2	23
23	QPR	23	6	5	12	-14	23
24	Wigan	23	5	7	11	-18	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	23	13	8	2	+18	47
2	Sheffield United	23	12	4	7	+6	40
3	Luton	21	11	6	4	+8	39
4	Sunderland	22	11	5	6	+13	38
5	Preston	23	10	5	8	-6	35
6	Norwich	23	9	6	8	+3	33
7	Stoke	23	8	6	9	+3	30
8	Coventry	22	7	8	7	+6	29
9	Middlesbrough	22	9	2	11	+2	29
10	Swansea	23	7	8	8	-2	29
11	Millwall	23	8	5	10	-5	29
12	QPR	23	7	6	10	-13	27
13	West Brom	23	7	5	11	-5	26
14	Blackburn	23	7	5	11	-10	26
15	Birmingham	23	7	5	11	-11	26
16	Hull	23	5	10	8	-7	25
17	Bristol City	23	6	7	10	-7	25
18	Watford	23	5	9	9	-9	24
19	Cardiff	23	7	3	13	-13	24
20	Wigan	23	5	8	10	-9	23
21	Huddersfield	23	5	5	13	-16	20
22	Blackpool	23	5	5	13	-18	20
23	Rotherham	23	2	11	10	-18	17
24	Reading	23	3	3	17	-29	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.