La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Girona
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | +49 | +15.6 | 82 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | +34 | +15.8 | 69 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | +37 | +17.5 | 68 |
| 4 |
Sociedad
|
33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | +14 | +4.4 | 61 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | +13 | +9.4 | 54 |
| 6 |
Betis
|
33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | +3 | +0.5 | 52 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | +10 | +3.5 | 47 |
| 8 |
Girona
|
33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | +6 | -3.6 | 47 |
| 9 |
Vallecano
|
33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | -2 | -3.7 | 46 |
| 10 |
Mallorca
|
34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | -4 | -3.6 | 44 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | -6 | -11.5 | 44 |
| 12 |
Sevilla
|
33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | -8 | +5.3 | 44 |
| 13 |
Celta
|
33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | -1.9 | 39 |
| 14 |
Almeria
|
33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -16 | -7.4 | 36 |
| 15 |
Cadiz
|
34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -24 | -6.5 | 35 |
| 16 |
Valladolid
|
33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | -27 | -13.1 | 35 |
| 17 |
Valencia
|
33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | -4 | -2.2 | 34 |
| 18 |
Getafe
|
33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | -12 | -4.0 | 34 |
| 19 |
Espanol
|
33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -16 | -7.0 | 31 |
| 20 |
Elche
|
33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | -39 | -7.7 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Álex Remiro
G
Zubeldia
D
R. Le Normand
D
Aihen Muñoz
D
T. Kubo
M
Martín Zubimendi
M
Mikel Merino
M
Mikel Oyarzabal
M
A. Sørloth
F
Coach: Imanol Alguacil
P. Gazzaniga
G
Arnau Martínez
D
S. Bueno
D
David López
D
Yan Couto
M
V. Tsygankov
M
Iván Martín
M
Rodrigo Riquelme
M
C. Stuani
F
Coach: Míchel
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sociedad
Real Madrid
Osasuna
Sociedad
Betis
Sociedad
Sociedad
Vallecano
Ath Bilbao
Sociedad
Jorge Figueroa · 62 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.