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Eredivisie

Referee: I Oostrom

Sparta Rotterdam

S S S T S

4–0

Full-time

Heerenveen

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 25/26 matches

Win Ø 46%

56%

35%

Points per game

1,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

56%

50%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

7 Corners 4

7 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 6. · Heerenveen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	28	20	7	1	+40	67
2	Ajax	28	17	8	3	+48	59
3	PSV Eindhoven	28	18	5	5	+42	59
4	AZ Alkmaar	28	16	6	6	+21	54
5	Twente	25	14	7	4	+27	49
6	Sparta Rotterdam	25	14	6	5	+18	48
7	Waalwijk	28	10	8	10	-2	38
8	Utrecht	26	9	9	8	-3	36
9	Nijmegen	28	7	14	7	+7	35
10	Heerenveen	26	9	7	10	-5	34
11	For Sittard	28	9	5	14	-16	32
12	Go Ahead Eagles	28	7	9	12	-11	30
13	Vitesse	28	6	9	13	-15	27
14	Volendam	28	7	6	15	-26	27
15	Excelsior	29	8	3	18	-39	27
16	FC Emmen	28	5	10	13	-21	25
17	Groningen	29	4	5	20	-31	17
18	Cambuur	28	4	4	20	-34	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	12	1	1	+36	37
2	Twente	13	11	2	0	+29	35
3	Feyenoord	14	10	4	0	+23	34
4	Ajax	14	8	4	2	+29	28
5	Waalwijk	15	8	3	4	+10	27
6	AZ Alkmaar	14	7	5	2	+10	26
7	Sparta Rotterdam	12	8	1	3	+11	25
8	Excelsior	15	7	2	6	-5	23
9	Volendam	13	6	1	6	-6	19
10	Nijmegen	14	3	9	2	+7	18
11	FC Emmen	15	3	9	3	-2	18
12	Go Ahead Eagles	13	4	5	4	-1	17
13	Utrecht	13	4	5	4	-1	17
14	For Sittard	14	4	3	7	-6	15
15	Heerenveen	13	4	2	7	-7	14
16	Vitesse	14	3	5	6	-9	14
17	Groningen	14	3	3	8	-7	12
18	Cambuur	14	2	0	12	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	14	10	3	1	+17	33
2	Ajax	14	9	4	1	+19	31
3	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	1	4	+11	28
4	Sparta Rotterdam	13	6	5	2	+7	23
5	PSV Eindhoven	14	6	4	4	+6	22
6	Heerenveen	13	5	5	3	+2	20
7	Utrecht	13	5	4	4	-2	19
8	Nijmegen	14	4	5	5	+0	17
9	For Sittard	14	5	2	7	-10	17
10	Twente	12	3	5	4	-2	14
11	Vitesse	14	3	4	7	-6	13
12	Go Ahead Eagles	15	3	4	8	-10	13
13	Waalwijk	13	2	5	6	-12	11
14	Cambuur	14	2	4	8	-17	10
15	Volendam	15	1	5	9	-20	8
16	FC Emmen	13	2	1	10	-19	7
17	Groningen	15	1	2	12	-24	5
18	Excelsior	14	1	1	12	-34	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.