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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro

Chaves

U S U S S

2–0

Full-time

Pacos Ferreira

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chaves Pacos Ferreira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,8

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

0,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 26%

35%

16%

Points per game

1,4

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

35%

52%

Both score Ø 50%

52%

48%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%

16 Shots 16

0 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Chaves 7. · Pacos Ferreira 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	31	26	2	3	+55	80
2	Porto	31	24	4	3	+45	76
3	Sp Braga	31	23	2	6	+40	71
4	Sp Lisbon	31	21	4	6	+37	67
5	Arouca	31	13	9	9	-2	48
6	Guimaraes	31	14	5	12	-4	47
7	Chaves	31	11	10	10	-3	43
8	Famalicao	31	13	3	15	-6	42
9	Casa Pia	31	11	7	13	-7	40
10	Boavista	32	11	7	14	-14	40
11	Vizela	31	11	6	14	-2	39
12	Rio Ave	31	10	9	12	-4	39
13	Gil Vicente	32	9	7	16	-9	34
14	Portimonense	31	10	4	17	-16	34
15	Estoril	31	8	4	19	-20	28
16	Maritimo	31	6	5	20	-29	23
17	Pacos Ferreira	31	5	5	21	-33	20
18	Santa Clara	31	4	7	20	-28	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	16	14	1	1	+33	43
2	Porto	15	13	0	2	+29	39
3	Sp Lisbon	15	12	1	2	+29	37
4	Sp Braga	15	11	2	2	+24	35
5	Guimaraes	16	9	3	4	+5	30
6	Arouca	16	9	2	5	+4	29
7	Boavista	16	8	5	3	+2	29
8	Famalicao	16	9	1	6	+4	28
9	Rio Ave	15	8	2	5	+5	26
10	Casa Pia	16	6	4	6	+1	22
11	Gil Vicente	16	5	6	5	+0	21
12	Portimonense	15	6	3	6	-1	21
13	Chaves	15	5	5	5	+0	20
14	Vizela	15	5	3	7	+0	18
15	Maritimo	16	5	3	8	-3	18
16	Estoril	15	5	2	8	-8	17
17	Santa Clara	16	3	5	8	-12	14
18	Pacos Ferreira	16	2	2	12	-22	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	15	12	1	2	+22	37
2	Porto	16	11	4	1	+16	37
3	Sp Braga	16	12	0	4	+16	36
4	Sp Lisbon	16	9	3	4	+8	30
5	Chaves	16	6	5	5	-3	23
6	Vizela	16	6	3	7	-2	21
7	Arouca	15	4	7	4	-6	19
8	Casa Pia	15	5	3	7	-8	18
9	Guimaraes	15	5	2	8	-9	17
10	Famalicao	15	4	2	9	-10	14
11	Gil Vicente	16	4	1	11	-9	13
12	Rio Ave	16	2	7	7	-9	13
13	Portimonense	16	4	1	11	-15	13
14	Pacos Ferreira	15	3	3	9	-11	12
15	Estoril	16	3	2	11	-12	11
16	Boavista	16	3	2	11	-16	11
17	Santa Clara	15	1	2	12	-16	5
18	Maritimo	15	1	2	12	-26	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.