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Serie B

Referee: M Irrati

Spal

S U U U T

0–1

Full-time

Parma

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

This season — Serie B · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 31%

19%

42%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

39%

36%

Both score Ø 48%

53%

42%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

20 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 6

4 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spal 19. · Parma 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	36	22	8	6	+35	74
2	Genoa	36	20	11	5	+25	71
3	Bari	36	16	14	6	+21	62
4	Sudtirol	36	14	15	7	+5	57
5	Parma	36	15	10	11	+7	55
6	Cagliari	36	13	15	8	+14	54
7	Reggina	36	16	4	16	+4	52
8	Palermo	36	11	15	10	+0	48
9	Pisa	36	11	13	12	+7	46
10	Venezia	36	12	10	14	+1	46
11	Ascoli	36	12	10	14	-6	46
12	Modena	36	12	9	15	-6	45
13	Como	36	9	16	11	-3	43
14	Ternana	36	11	10	15	-12	43
15	Cittadella	36	9	14	13	-11	41
16	Cosenza	36	9	12	15	-22	39
17	Brescia	36	9	11	16	-21	38
18	Perugia	36	9	9	18	-12	36
19	Spal	36	7	14	15	-10	35
20	Benevento	36	6	14	16	-16	32

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	18	13	3	2	+23	42
2	Genoa	18	11	6	1	+18	39
3	Cagliari	18	10	6	2	+10	36
4	Parma	18	10	2	6	+9	32
5	Palermo	18	8	7	3	+8	31
6	Reggina	18	9	2	7	+5	29
7	Ternana	18	8	5	5	+1	29
8	Como	18	7	7	4	+6	28
9	Cosenza	18	7	7	4	+3	28
10	Bari	18	6	9	3	+10	27
11	Sudtirol	18	6	9	3	+3	27
12	Pisa	18	7	5	6	+7	26
13	Modena	18	6	8	4	+7	26
14	Venezia	18	6	5	7	+1	23
15	Ascoli	18	6	5	7	-2	23
16	Brescia	18	6	5	7	-5	23
17	Cittadella	18	5	7	6	-3	22
18	Perugia	18	5	6	7	-5	21
19	Spal	18	4	7	7	-1	19
20	Benevento	18	3	6	9	-10	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	18	10	5	3	+11	35
2	Frosinone	18	9	5	4	+12	32
3	Genoa	18	9	5	4	+7	32
4	Sudtirol	18	8	6	4	+2	30
5	Venezia	18	6	5	7	+0	23
6	Reggina	18	7	2	9	-1	23
7	Parma	18	5	8	5	-2	23
8	Ascoli	18	6	5	7	-4	23
9	Pisa	18	4	8	6	+0	20
10	Cittadella	18	4	7	7	-8	19
11	Modena	18	6	1	11	-13	19
12	Cagliari	18	3	9	6	+4	18
13	Benevento	18	3	8	7	-6	17
14	Palermo	18	3	8	7	-8	17
15	Spal	18	3	7	8	-9	16
16	Perugia	18	4	3	11	-7	15
17	Como	18	2	9	7	-9	15
18	Brescia	18	3	6	9	-16	15
19	Ternana	18	3	5	10	-13	14
20	Cosenza	18	2	5	11	-25	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.