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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Lechner

Holstein Kiel

S S T T T

2–1

Full-time

Karlsruhe

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

2,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 36%

32%

39%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

71%

58%

Both score Ø 66%

74%

58%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

9 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 10. · Karlsruhe 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	31	19	7	5	+21	64
2	Heidenheim	31	17	10	4	+30	61
3	Hamburg	31	17	6	8	+19	57
4	St Pauli	31	15	8	8	+15	53
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	31	16	5	10	+14	53
6	Paderborn	31	15	6	10	+24	51
7	Kaiserslautern	31	11	12	8	+5	45
8	Karlsruhe	31	12	6	13	+2	42
9	Hannover	31	11	7	13	-2	40
10	Holstein Kiel	31	10	10	11	-7	40
11	Magdeburg	32	11	7	14	-10	40
12	Greuther Furth	31	9	10	12	-6	37
13	Hansa Rostock	32	11	4	17	-17	37
14	Braunschweig	31	9	8	14	-15	35
15	Nurnberg	32	9	8	15	-18	35
16	Bielefeld	31	8	6	17	-9	30
17	Regensburg	31	7	7	17	-20	28
18	Sandhausen	32	7	7	18	-26	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	16	11	4	1	+24	37
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	11	3	2	+19	36
3	Darmstadt	16	10	5	1	+13	35
4	Paderborn	15	11	0	4	+26	33
5	Hamburg	16	10	3	3	+17	33
6	St Pauli	15	9	5	1	+13	32
7	Karlsruhe	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Greuther Furth	15	7	6	2	+5	27
9	Kaiserslautern	15	6	6	3	+4	24
10	Hannover	15	7	3	5	+4	24
11	Braunschweig	16	7	3	6	+2	24
12	Nurnberg	16	7	3	6	+1	24
13	Holstein Kiel	15	5	4	6	+0	19
14	Magdeburg	16	5	4	7	-3	19
15	Regensburg	15	4	7	4	-6	19
16	Bielefeld	16	5	3	8	-1	18
17	Hansa Rostock	16	5	1	10	-8	16
18	Sandhausen	16	4	4	8	-14	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	15	9	2	4	+8	29
2	Heidenheim	15	6	6	3	+6	24
3	Hamburg	15	7	3	5	+2	24
4	St Pauli	16	6	3	7	+2	21
5	Kaiserslautern	16	5	6	5	+1	21
6	Magdeburg	16	6	3	7	-7	21
7	Holstein Kiel	16	5	6	5	-7	21
8	Hansa Rostock	16	6	3	7	-9	21
9	Paderborn	16	4	6	6	-2	18
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	5	2	8	-5	17
11	Hannover	16	4	4	8	-6	16
12	Karlsruhe	15	4	3	8	-3	15
13	Bielefeld	15	3	3	9	-8	12
14	Sandhausen	16	3	3	10	-12	12
15	Braunschweig	15	2	5	8	-17	11
16	Nurnberg	16	2	5	9	-19	11
17	Greuther Furth	16	2	4	10	-11	10
18	Regensburg	16	3	0	13	-14	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.