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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
Volendam
T T T S T
2–1
Full-time
Waalwijk
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Volendam Waalwijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,8
This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 20%
13%
27%
Points per game
0,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 64%
60%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
2,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Volendam 17. · Waalwijk 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 15 10 4 1 +22 34
2 Ajax 15 9 4 2 +27 31
3 PSV Eindhoven 15 10 1 4 +22 31
4 AZ Alkmaar 15 9 3 3 +9 30
5 Twente 13 9 2 2 +18 29
6 Sparta Rotterdam 13 7 3 3 +11 24
7 Utrecht 14 6 4 4 +0 22
8 Heerenveen 14 5 6 3 +2 21
9 Nijmegen 15 3 9 3 +3 18
10 Go Ahead Eagles 15 4 6 5 -1 18
11 Waalwijk 15 4 6 5 -3 18
12 Excelsior 15 5 1 9 -20 16
13 For Sittard 15 4 3 8 -9 15
14 Vitesse 15 3 5 7 -13 14
15 Groningen 15 3 3 9 -13 12
16 FC Emmen 15 2 5 8 -16 11
17 Volendam 15 2 3 10 -23 9
18 Cambuur 15 2 2 11 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Volendam Waalwijk
Derry Murkin 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–1
63′
M. Seuntjens 0–1
D. van Mieghem 🔁
↦ D. Mirani
66′
B. Plat 🔁
↦ O. Buur
66′
1–1 X. Mbuyamba
C. Eiting
69′
72′
🔁 R. Kuijpers
↦ M. Biereth
H. Veerman 🔁
↦ R. Mühren
77′
81′
🔁 M. Kramer
↦ P. Clement
81′
🔁 Z. Bakkali
↦ D. Van den Buijs
2–1 F. Da Silva
G. Oristanio
81′
J. Flint 🔁
↦ G. Oristanio
84′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Volendam

3-4-2-1
1 F. Stanković G
31 X. Mbuyamba D
6 B. Benamar D
4 D. Mirani D
2 O. Buur M
12 F. Da Silva M
8 C. Eiting M
5 D. Murkin M
11 B. Ould-Chikh F
10 G. Oristanio F
21 R. Mühren F
Bench (11)
7 D. van Mieghem
3 B. Plat
9 H. Veerman
28 J. Flint
25 L. Zeefuik
17 C. Twigt
37 J. Antonioli
36 J. Blom
20 K. van Oevelen
33 W. Ould-Chikh
15 D. James

Coach: W. Jonk

Waalwijk

3-4-1-2
1 E. Vaessen G
23 J. Gaari D
4 S. Adewoye D
24 D. Van den Buijs D
2 J. Lelieveld M
33 Y. Oukili M
6 V. Anita M
5 T. Lutonda M
14 P. Clement F
20 M. Seuntjens F
9 M. Biereth F
Bench (12)
17 R. Kuijpers
29 M. Kramer
19 Z. Bakkali
26 S. Augustijns
22 S. Bakari
15 L. Nieuwpoort
35 K. Felida
10 F. Jozefzoon
13 M. Spenkelink
34 L. Wouters
12 H. Mulder
21 Joel Pereira

Coach: J. Oosting

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,56
U
3,55
B
2,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.