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Eredivisie

Referee: E van de Graaf

Sparta Rotterdam

S S S U T

1–0

Full-time

Excelsior

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

0,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 13/15 matches

Win Ø 44%

54%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

62%

60%

Both score Ø 49%

38%

60%

Average goals

2,7

3,6

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

0,9

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

15 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 6. · Excelsior 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	15	10	4	1	+22	34
2	AZ Alkmaar	16	10	3	3	+11	33
3	Ajax	15	9	4	2	+27	31
4	PSV Eindhoven	15	10	1	4	+22	31
5	Twente	13	9	2	2	+18	29
6	Sparta Rotterdam	13	7	3	3	+11	24
7	Utrecht	14	6	4	4	+0	22
8	Heerenveen	15	5	6	4	+0	21
9	Nijmegen	15	3	9	3	+3	18
10	Go Ahead Eagles	15	4	6	5	-1	18
11	Waalwijk	16	4	6	6	-4	18
12	Excelsior	15	5	1	9	-20	16
13	For Sittard	15	4	3	8	-9	15
14	Vitesse	15	3	5	7	-13	14
15	Groningen	15	3	3	9	-13	12
16	Volendam	16	3	3	10	-22	12
17	FC Emmen	15	2	5	8	-16	11
18	Cambuur	15	2	2	11	-16	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	8	7	1	0	+19	22
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	+18	19
3	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+14	17
4	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5	0	2	+9	15
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	+19	14
6	Waalwijk	8	3	3	2	+5	12
7	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	3	1	+2	12
8	Excelsior	7	4	0	3	-2	12
9	Nijmegen	8	1	6	1	+4	9
10	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	3	3	-1	9
11	Utrecht	7	2	3	2	-1	9
12	FC Emmen	7	1	5	1	-2	8
13	Heerenveen	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Groningen	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	For Sittard	8	2	1	5	-5	7
16	Volendam	8	2	0	6	-12	6
17	Vitesse	7	1	2	4	-11	5
18	Cambuur	8	1	0	7	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	9	7	0	2	+9	21
2	Feyenoord	8	5	2	1	+8	17
3	Ajax	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	Heerenveen	8	3	4	1	+2	13
5	Utrecht	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	PSV Eindhoven	7	4	0	3	+4	12
7	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Nijmegen	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Vitesse	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	For Sittard	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Twente	5	2	1	2	-1	7
13	Waalwijk	8	1	3	4	-9	6
14	Volendam	8	1	3	4	-10	6
15	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	-7	5
16	Groningen	8	1	2	5	-10	5
17	Excelsior	8	1	1	6	-18	4
18	FC Emmen	8	1	0	7	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.