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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
PSV Eindhoven
S U U S U
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
0,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 37%
53%
20%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
33%
60%
Both score Ø 37%
40%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
23 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 3. · Go Ahead Eagles 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 15 11 3 1 +29 36
2 Ajax 15 11 3 1 +23 36
3 PSV Eindhoven 15 8 6 1 +16 30
4 Heerenveen 14 7 4 3 +12 25
5 AZ Alkmaar 13 5 7 1 +10 22
6 Twente 15 5 6 4 +3 21
7 Vitesse 15 5 5 5 +3 20
8 Utrecht 13 5 5 3 +3 20
9 Heracles 15 4 6 5 -5 18
10 Nijmegen 16 4 6 6 -10 18
11 Sparta Rotterdam 15 4 5 6 -5 17
12 Groningen 15 4 4 7 -4 16
13 Excelsior 15 4 3 8 -8 15
14 Willem II 15 3 6 6 -8 15
15 Den Haag 16 4 2 10 -14 14
16 Zwolle 15 3 4 8 -18 13
17 Roda 16 1 9 6 -13 12
18 Go Ahead Eagles 15 3 2 10 -14 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Go Ahead Eagles
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Sander Duits
S. Bergwijn 🔁
↦ L. Narsingh
60′
60′
🔁 H. Ojamaa
↦ R. Wolters
S. de Jong 🔁
↦ G. Pereiro
64′
1–0 S. de Jong
J. Brenet
68′
74′
🔁 L. de Kogel
↦ J. Antonia
F. Jozefzoon 🔁
↦ O. Zinchenko
83′
88′
🔁 K. Teijsse
↦ M. Ritzmaier
90′
🟨 Norichio Nieveld
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
3 H. Moreno D
5 D. Schwaab D
4 S. Arias D
20 J. Brenet D
6 D. Pröpper M
25 O. Zinchenko D
23 B. Ramselaar M
9 L. de Jong F
11 L. Narsingh M
7 G. Pereiro M
Bench (10)
27 S. Bergwijn
10 S. de Jong
17 F. Jozefzoon
2 N. Isimat-Mirin
14 S. Poulsen
15 J. Willems
22 R. Pasveer
30 J. de Wijs
31 H. Jurjus
38 R. Lundqvist

Coach: P. Cocu

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-3
1 T. Zwarthoed
3 S. Fischer D
35 R. Achenteh M
23 N. Nieveld D
4 X. Schenk D
32 J. Groenbast D
6 S. Duits M
24 M. Ritzmaier M
11 R. Wolters F
77 J. Antonia F
14 D. Maatsen M
Bench (8)
22 H. Ojamaa
9 L. de Kogel
5 K. Teijsse
2 L. Lambooij
10 K. Brands
13 E. Cummins
19 S. Hendriks
47 M. Hamdaoui

Coach: H. de Koning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.