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KNVB Beker

Referee: B Nijhuis

Nijmegen

U U U U T

3–2

Full-time

For Sittard

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen For Sittard

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,3

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%

18 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hercules	3	2	0	1	+4	6
2	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	URK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Staphorst	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Kozakken Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Hoek	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	OFC Oostzaan	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	HV & CV Quick	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
34	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Harkemase Boys	2	0	1	1	-4	1
45	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	OFC Oostzaan	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+3	3
7	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	URK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Kozakken Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Hoek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	HV & CV Quick	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	URK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Excelsior '31	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Harkemase Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Staphorst	2	0	1	1	-2	1
27	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.