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Eredivisie
Referee: S van der Eijk
Twente
T T T S U
3–1
Full-time
Groningen
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

35% Possession 65%
7 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 4
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 7. · Groningen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Ajax 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Vitesse 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 VVV Venlo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Feyenoord 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Twente 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +2 3
9 Groningen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Heracles 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Utrecht 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Zwolle 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 FC Emmen 2 0 0 2 -3 0
15 Sparta Rotterdam 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Den Haag 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 For Sittard 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Waalwijk 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,26
U
3,35
B
3,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S van der Eijk · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.