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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

Twente

T U T S S

3–1

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 5/3 matches

Win Ø 20%

40%

Points per game

1,4

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

40%

67%

Both score Ø 47%

60%

33%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,4

0,7

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

42% Possession 58%

11 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Twente 10. · AZ Alkmaar 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	5	1	0	+26	16
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	0	1	+8	15
3	Willem II	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	Feyenoord	5	4	0	1	+10	12
5	Utrecht	6	3	2	1	+8	11
6	Heerenveen	5	3	1	1	+1	10
7	Cambuur	6	3	0	3	-7	9
8	Vitesse	6	3	0	3	-8	9
9	Nijmegen	6	2	2	2	-5	8
10	Twente	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	3	2	-4	6
12	Go Ahead Eagles	6	2	0	4	-4	6
13	Waalwijk	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Groningen	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Heracles	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	For Sittard	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Zwolle	6	0	1	5	-7	1
18	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+19	9
2	Cambuur	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Utrecht	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Willem II	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Twente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	-4	4
13	Waalwijk	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Heracles	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Groningen	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Vitesse	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	-2	9
3	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Willem II	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+6	6
6	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-4	4
9	Twente	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Waalwijk	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	1	2	-6	1
14	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-4	0
17	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.