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Eredivisie

Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom

Twente

T S T U T

3–0

Full-time

Nijmegen

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 30%

37%

23%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

63%

47%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

14 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

3 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Twente 7. · Nijmegen 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	30	23	4	3	+58	73
2	Ajax	30	22	6	2	+47	72
3	PSV Eindhoven	31	20	9	2	+41	69
4	Utrecht	27	14	7	6	+15	49
5	Vitesse	31	14	6	11	+11	48
6	AZ Alkmaar	28	10	12	6	+6	42
7	Twente	30	11	9	10	-1	42
8	Heerenveen	28	11	6	11	+8	39
9	Heracles	31	10	7	14	-5	37
10	Willem II	30	8	9	13	-13	33
11	Zwolle	30	8	8	14	-21	32
12	Den Haag	31	9	5	17	-22	32
13	Excelsior	31	7	10	14	-18	31
14	Roda	31	6	12	13	-22	30
15	Groningen	28	6	11	11	-5	29
16	Sparta Rotterdam	31	7	7	17	-21	28
17	Nijmegen	30	7	7	16	-26	28
18	Go Ahead Eagles	30	6	5	19	-32	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	15	13	2	0	+41	41
2	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+28	38
3	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	3	1	+22	36
4	Vitesse	15	8	2	5	+9	26
5	Heerenveen	14	7	4	3	+11	25
6	Twente	15	7	4	4	+5	25
7	Utrecht	13	7	3	3	+9	24
8	Heracles	16	7	3	6	+7	24
9	Den Haag	16	6	3	7	-2	21
10	AZ Alkmaar	14	4	8	2	+6	20
11	Excelsior	16	5	5	6	-1	20
12	Roda	16	5	5	6	-2	20
13	Sparta Rotterdam	15	5	4	6	+0	19
14	Nijmegen	15	5	4	6	-5	19
15	Willem II	15	4	5	6	-5	17
16	Zwolle	15	4	5	6	-9	17
17	Groningen	14	3	7	4	-5	16
18	Go Ahead Eagles	15	4	1	10	-12	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	10	4	1	+19	34
2	PSV Eindhoven	16	9	6	1	+19	33
3	Feyenoord	15	10	2	3	+17	32
4	Utrecht	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Vitesse	16	6	4	6	+2	22
6	AZ Alkmaar	14	6	4	4	+0	22
7	Twente	15	4	5	6	-6	17
8	Willem II	15	4	4	7	-8	16
9	Zwolle	15	4	3	8	-12	15
10	Heerenveen	14	4	2	8	-3	14
11	Groningen	14	3	4	7	+0	13
12	Heracles	15	3	4	8	-12	13
13	Excelsior	15	2	5	8	-17	11
14	Den Haag	15	3	2	10	-20	11
15	Go Ahead Eagles	15	2	4	9	-20	10
16	Roda	15	1	7	7	-20	10
17	Sparta Rotterdam	16	2	3	11	-21	9
18	Nijmegen	15	2	3	10	-21	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.