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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Heracles
T U T S S
0–2
Full-time
Vitesse
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 47%
29%
64%
Points per game
1,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
57%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
57%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 12. · Vitesse 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 14 11 1 2 +42 34
2 PSV Eindhoven 14 10 3 1 +22 33
3 Vitesse 14 9 2 3 +12 29
4 Feyenoord 12 8 3 1 +17 27
5 AZ Alkmaar 14 7 6 1 +13 27
6 Twente 15 8 3 4 +11 27
7 Groningen 14 8 2 4 +3 26
8 Heerenveen 14 5 5 4 +1 20
9 Sparta Rotterdam 13 5 2 6 +1 17
10 Utrecht 13 3 7 3 -3 16
11 Zwolle 14 3 7 4 -6 16
12 Heracles 14 4 3 7 -9 15
13 For Sittard 14 3 4 7 -12 13
14 Waalwijk 15 3 3 9 -14 12
15 Den Haag 15 2 4 9 -21 10
16 Willem II 14 2 3 9 -14 9
17 VVV Venlo 14 2 3 9 -22 9
18 FC Emmen 15 0 5 10 -21 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Vitesse
14′
🟨 Thomas Bruns
Sinan Bakış 🟨
27′
38′
M. Bero 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou 🟨
52′
A. Szőke 🔁
↦ S. Bakış
59′
I. Azzaoui 🔁
↦ D. Burgzorg
59′
L. de la Torre 🔁
↦ L. Schoofs
59′
70′
🔁 P. Vroegh
↦ L. Openda
71′
🔁 T. Buitink
↦ O. Darfalou
71′
🔁 D. Huisman
↦ O. Tannane
M. Knoester 🔁
↦ M. Rente
83′
83′
M. Bero 0–2
E. Dasa
K. Jakobsen 🔁
↦ S. van der Water
87′
Kasper Lunding 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
2 T. Breukers D
4 R. Pröpper D
5 M. Rente D
3 G. Quagliata D
10 R. Vloet M
15 L. Schoofs M
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
9 S. Bakış F
11 S. van der Water F
37 D. Burgzorg F
Bench (10)
17 A. Szőke
18 I. Azzaoui
14 L. de la Torre
13 M. Knoester
20 K. Jakobsen
31 R. Agca
26 K. Bucker
16 M. Brouwer
23 N. Fadiga
34 J. Hardeveld

Coach: F. Wormuth

Vitesse

5-3-2
22 R. Pasveer G
2 E. Dasa D
32 M. Wittek D
6 J. Rasmussen D
3 D. Doekhi D
20 T. Bruns M
21 M. Bero M
10 R. Bazoer D
14 O. Tannane M
9 O. Darfalou F
7 L. Openda F
Bench (11)
36 P. Vroegh
29 T. Buitink
40 D. Huisman
39 E. Cornelisse
24 J. Houwen
11 A. Broja
18 T. Hájek
42 M. Manhoef
27 I. Touré
17 H. Gong
23 B. Bayazit

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,43
U
3,65
B ✓
2,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.