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Eredivisie
Referee: R Dieperink
Heracles
U T S S T
4–0
Full-time
FC Emmen
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 14%
27%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
53%
67%
Both score Ø 60%
47%
73%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
20 Shots 8
11 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 13. · FC Emmen 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 15 11 2 2 +42 35
2 Vitesse 16 11 2 3 +15 35
3 PSV Eindhoven 15 10 4 1 +22 34
4 Feyenoord 13 9 3 1 +19 30
5 AZ Alkmaar 15 7 7 1 +13 28
6 Twente 15 8 3 4 +11 27
7 Groningen 14 8 2 4 +3 26
8 Heerenveen 15 5 5 5 -1 20
9 Sparta Rotterdam 14 5 2 7 -1 17
10 Zwolle 15 3 8 4 -6 17
11 Utrecht 14 3 7 4 -4 16
12 For Sittard 15 4 4 7 -10 16
13 Heracles 15 4 3 8 -11 15
14 Waalwijk 15 3 3 9 -14 12
15 VVV Venlo 15 3 3 9 -21 12
16 Den Haag 15 2 4 9 -21 10
17 Willem II 15 2 3 10 -15 9
18 FC Emmen 15 0 5 10 -21 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles FC Emmen
19′
🔁 N. Bakker
↦ G. Bijl
1–0 S. Bakış
26′
28′
🟨 Miguel Araujo
2–0 S. Bakış
S. van der Water
44′
45′
🟨 Lucas Bernadou
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 N. Laursen
↦ A. Jansen
46′
🔁 J. Vlak
↦ L. Bernadou
3–0 S. Bakış
R. Vloet
64′
M. Leš 🔁
↦ M. Knoester
70′
J. Hardeveld 🔁
↦ G. Quagliata
70′
N. Fadiga 🔁
↦ T. Breukers
71′
77′
🔁 D. Avdijaj
↦ M. de Leeuw
77′
🔁 H. Ben Moussa
↦ K. Veendorp
K. Jakobsen 🔁
↦ S. van der Water
80′
R. Agca 🔁
↦ R. Vloet
87′
4–0 R. Vloet
N. Fadiga
87′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
2 T. Breukers D
4 R. Pröpper D
13 M. Knoester D
3 G. Quagliata D
10 R. Vloet M
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
14 L. de la Torre M
9 S. Bakış F
11 S. van der Water F
37 D. Burgzorg F
Bench (10)
22 M. Leš
34 J. Hardeveld
23 N. Fadiga
20 K. Jakobsen
31 R. Agca
26 K. Bucker
15 L. Schoofs
16 M. Brouwer
18 I. Azzaoui
17 A. Szőke

Coach: F. Wormuth

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
26 D. Telgenkamp G
22 C. Cavlan D
34 R. van Rhijn D
5 M. Araujo D
3 K. Veendorp M
23 G. Bijl D
10 S. Peña M
24 L. Bernadou M
6 A. Jansen M
8 M. de Leeuw F
9 M. Kolar M
Bench (12)
4 N. Bakker
11 N. Laursen
20 J. Vlak
17 D. Avdijaj
21 H. Ben Moussa
25 S. Sidibe
7 S. Tibbling
14 F. Görgülü
18 D. Granečný
93 S. van der Lei
32 R. de Vos
1 F. Wiedwald

Coach: D. Lukkien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,78
U
3,75
B
4,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,97
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Dieperink · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.