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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

PSV Eindhoven

S S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Heerenveen

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

3,2

1,7

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,8

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 63%

100%

25%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

83%

58%

Both score Ø 59%

42%

75%

Average goals

4,0

4,3

Scored

3,6

2,0

Conceded

0,4

2,3

Goal diff per game

+3,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

71% Possession 29%

28 Shots 4

11 Shots on target 0

7 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

6 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · Heerenveen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	12	0	0	+38	36
2	Ajax	13	11	1	1	+35	34
3	Feyenoord	11	7	2	2	+9	23
4	Heracles	12	6	2	4	+1	20
5	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	3	4	+4	18
6	VVV Venlo	11	5	3	3	+2	18
7	Utrecht	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	Den Haag	13	4	3	6	-10	15
9	Heerenveen	12	3	5	4	-3	14
10	For Sittard	12	3	4	5	-1	13
11	Willem II	12	3	4	5	-3	13
12	FC Emmen	12	3	4	5	-12	13
13	Vitesse	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Excelsior	12	3	3	6	-13	12
15	Zwolle	13	3	2	8	-10	11
16	Groningen	11	3	1	7	-7	10
17	De Graafschap	12	3	1	8	-14	10
18	NAC Breda	13	2	2	9	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+23	18
2	Ajax	6	5	1	0	+18	16
3	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+10	15
4	Heracles	6	5	0	1	+9	15
5	Utrecht	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	VVV Venlo	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	3	1	+5	9
8	De Graafschap	7	3	0	4	-4	9
9	For Sittard	6	2	2	2	+2	8
10	Excelsior	7	2	2	3	-7	8
11	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	NAC Breda	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-6	7
14	FC Emmen	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Willem II	5	1	2	2	+3	5
16	Groningen	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-4	4
18	Heerenveen	6	0	3	3	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+17	18
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+15	18
3	Heerenveen	6	3	2	1	+5	11
4	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	0	3	-1	9
5	Feyenoord	6	2	2	2	-1	8
6	VVV Venlo	6	2	2	2	-3	8
7	Den Haag	7	2	2	3	-4	8
8	Willem II	7	2	2	3	-6	8
9	Zwolle	6	2	1	3	-6	7
10	FC Emmen	6	2	1	3	-10	7
11	Groningen	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Vitesse	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Heracles	6	1	2	3	-8	5
16	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	De Graafschap	5	0	1	4	-10	1
18	NAC Breda	6	0	1	5	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.